FanPost

Dodgers vs Brewers, August 16th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Monday at 11:15 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Chad Billingsley Yovanni Gallardo Brewers 62.62% 7.7 60.04% 8.30

 

1 MIL 3-2 6:1   51 MIL 8-3 37:1   101 LAN 9-8 126:1
2 MIL 4-3 6:1   52 LAN 7-6 37:1   102 LAN 10-2 129:1
3 MIL 2-1 7:1   53 LAN 7-5 37:1   103 LAN 10-5 142:1
4 MIL 5-4 8:1   54 MIL 8-4 41:1   104 MIL 10-9 149:1
5 LAN 3-2 10:1   55 MIL 8-7 41:1   105 MIL 10-6 156:1
6 MIL 4-2 10:1   56 MIL 8-1 42:1   106 MIL 12-2 156:1
7 MIL 3-1 11:1   57 LAN 7-1 42:1   107 MIL 12-4 161:1
8 LAN 4-3 11:1   58 MIL 8-5 43:1   108 MIL 12-1 162:1
9 LAN 2-1 11:1   59 MIL 9-2 44:1   109 MIL 11-5 165:1
10 MIL 4-1 12:1   60 LAN 5-0 44:1   110 MIL 11-0 165:1
11 MIL 6-5 13:1   61 MIL 7-0 45:1   111 MIL 10-7 165:1
12 MIL 5-2 13:1   62 MIL 9-3 47:1   112 LAN 10-1 165:1
13 LAN 4-2 13:1   63 LAN 8-2 48:1   113 LAN 10-6 166:1
14 MIL 5-3 14:1   64 MIL 9-1 52:1   114 MIL 12-3 182:1
15 MIL 1-0 14:1   65 LAN 8-3 53:1   115 LAN 11-3 182:1
16 LAN 5-4 14:1   66 MIL 8-0 55:1   116 LAN 9-0 183:1
17 LAN 3-1 14:1   67 LAN 8-4 55:1   117 MIL 11-6 201:1
18 MIL 5-1 16:1   68 LAN 8-5 55:1   118 LAN 11-4 206:1
19 LAN 5-3 17:1   69 MIL 9-4 56:1   119 LAN 10-7 217:1
20 MIL 6-3 17:1   70 LAN 6-0 58:1   120 LAN 10-8 219:1
21 MIL 2-0 18:1   71 MIL 8-6 62:1   121 LAN 11-2 222:1
22 MIL 6-2 18:1   72 LAN 8-6 63:1   122 MIL 10-8 227:1
23 MIL 3-0 19:1   73 LAN 8-1 65:1   123 LAN 11-5 235:1
24 LAN 5-2 19:1   74 MIL 10-3 68:1   124 MIL 12-5 237:1
25 MIL 6-4 19:1   75 MIL 10-2 69:1   125 MIL 13-1 242:1
26 LAN 4-1 20:1   76 MIL 9-8 73:1   126 LAN 10-0 252:1
27 MIL 7-6 21:1   77 MIL 9-5 74:1   127 MIL 11-7 265:1
28 LAN 6-5 21:1   78 LAN 8-7 74:1   128 MIL 12-0 268:1
29 MIL 4-0 22:1   79 LAN 9-2 78:1   129 LAN 11-1 271:1
30 MIL 6-1 22:1   80 MIL 10-1 79:1   130 LAN 12-4 274:1
31 LAN 6-4 22:1   81 MIL 9-6 81:1   131 MIL 13-3 280:1
32 LAN 6-3 23:1   82 LAN 7-0 82:1   132 MIL 13-2 293:1
33 MIL 7-2 24:1   83 LAN 9-3 83:1   133 MIL 12-6 297:1
34 LAN 1-0 25:1   84 MIL 9-0 83:1   134 LAN 11-6 304:1
35 LAN 2-0 25:1   85 MIL 10-4 86:1   135 MIL 14-1 304:1
36 LAN 5-1 25:1   86 LAN 9-4 87:1   136 LAN 10-9 333:1
37 MIL 7-3 25:1   87 LAN 9-6 95:1   137 MIL 11-10 346:1
38 MIL 7-4 27:1   88 MIL 11-3 97:1   138 LAN 11-7 346:1
39 LAN 6-2 27:1   89 LAN 9-5 98:1   139 LAN 12-3 346:1
40 MIL 5-0 27:1   90 MIL 11-2 100:1   140 MIL 13-4 346:1
41 LAN 3-0 28:1   91 MIL 10-5 102:1   141 MIL 14-2 356:1
42 MIL 7-1 30:1   92 LAN 8-0 108:1   142 MIL 13-5 367:1
43 LAN 7-4 31:1   93 MIL 10-0 108:1   143 LAN 12-2 367:1
44 MIL 8-2 32:1   94 MIL 9-7 112:1   144 MIL 11-8 378:1
45 MIL 7-5 33:1   95 LAN 9-7 116:1   145 MIL 14-3 384:1
46 LAN 6-1 34:1   96 LAN 9-1 116:1   146 MIL 14-4 390:1
47 LAN 4-0 34:1   97 LAN 10-4 117:1   147 LAN 11-0 390:1
48 LAN 7-2 35:1   98 MIL 11-1 118:1   148 LAN 12-5 409:1
49 MIL 6-0 36:1   99 LAN 10-3 123:1   149 LAN 12-1 416:1
50 LAN 7-3 37:1   100 MIL 11-4 124:1   150 MIL 12-7 438:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley K-BB: 3.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Prince Fielder minus Matt Kemp total bases : 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Chad Billingsley Pitch Count: 97.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Chad Billingsley HRs Allowed: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp steals a base: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) 2, 4, 6, 8 or 10 total runs is scored in game: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Brewers win by one run: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions B,C,D,E,F must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

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