FanPost

Dodgers vs Cardinals, August 22nd Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 10:52 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Nathan Eovaldi Chris Carpenter Cardinals 64.35% 7.1 73.02% 7.90

 

1 STL 3-2 5:1   51 STL 8-4 40:1   101 STL 10-6 157:1
2 STL 4-3 6:1   52 STL 9-3 40:1   102 LAN 9-6 161:1
3 STL 2-1 6:1   53 STL 10-2 41:1   103 STL 13-3 168:1
4 STL 5-4 9:1   54 LAN 5-1 42:1   104 STL 13-0 173:1
5 STL 3-1 9:1   55 LAN 6-2 43:1   105 LAN 9-3 180:1
6 STL 4-2 9:1   56 STL 10-1 44:1   106 LAN 9-8 189:1
7 STL 4-1 9:1   57 STL 10-0 47:1   107 LAN 9-7 193:1
8 STL 5-2 11:1   58 LAN 7-5 49:1   108 LAN 9-2 196:1
9 STL 5-1 11:1   59 LAN 7-4 50:1   109 LAN 7-0 213:1
10 STL 3-0 12:1   60 STL 9-4 53:1   110 STL 14-1 219:1
11 LAN 3-2 12:1   61 STL 8-7 53:1   111 STL 14-2 231:1
12 STL 4-0 12:1   62 STL 8-5 54:1   112 STL 12-5 231:1
13 STL 1-0 13:1   63 STL 10-3 54:1   113 STL 11-6 235:1
14 STL 5-3 13:1   64 LAN 7-6 54:1   114 STL 10-7 237:1
15 STL 2-0 13:1   65 LAN 6-1 55:1   115 STL 10-9 247:1
16 STL 6-1 13:1   66 LAN 4-0 57:1   116 STL 13-4 254:1
17 STL 6-2 13:1   67 STL 11-2 58:1   117 LAN 10-4 260:1
18 LAN 4-3 13:1   68 LAN 7-3 58:1   118 LAN 10-5 262:1
19 STL 5-0 14:1   69 STL 11-1 62:1   119 STL 14-0 265:1
20 LAN 2-1 14:1   70 STL 11-0 68:1   120 LAN 9-1 268:1
21 STL 6-5 14:1   71 LAN 7-2 69:1   121 STL 14-4 297:1
22 STL 6-3 16:1   72 STL 8-6 70:1   122 STL 12-6 300:1
23 STL 6-0 16:1   73 STL 9-5 72:1   123 STL 14-3 300:1
24 LAN 4-2 17:1   74 STL 11-3 75:1   124 LAN 10-7 300:1
25 STL 7-1 17:1   75 STL 10-4 76:1   125 STL 11-7 304:1
26 STL 7-2 18:1   76 LAN 5-0 81:1   126 LAN 10-3 316:1
27 LAN 3-1 18:1   77 STL 12-2 89:1   127 LAN 10-6 324:1
28 LAN 5-4 18:1   78 LAN 8-3 90:1   128 STL 10-8 324:1
29 STL 7-0 21:1   79 LAN 8-5 90:1   129 STL 13-5 337:1
30 LAN 5-3 21:1   80 STL 10-5 92:1   130 LAN 8-0 356:1
31 STL 6-4 21:1   81 LAN 7-1 94:1   131 STL 15-2 362:1
32 STL 8-1 22:1   82 STL 12-1 94:1   132 LAN 10-2 378:1
33 STL 7-3 23:1   83 LAN 8-4 100:1   133 STL 15-1 390:1
34 STL 8-2 24:1   84 STL 9-6 100:1   134 STL 16-1 462:1
35 LAN 1-0 26:1   85 LAN 8-6 100:1   135 LAN 10-8 471:1
36 LAN 4-1 26:1   86 STL 12-3 103:1   136 STL 13-6 480:1
37 LAN 5-2 26:1   87 LAN 8-2 103:1   137 STL 11-8 499:1
38 STL 9-1 27:1   88 LAN 8-7 103:1   138 STL 15-4 509:1
39 STL 7-4 27:1   89 STL 11-4 104:1   139 STL 15-0 520:1
40 STL 8-0 28:1   90 STL 12-0 114:1   140 LAN 10-1 543:1
41 STL 7-6 28:1   91 STL 9-8 119:1   141 LAN 9-0 543:1
42 STL 8-3 29:1   92 LAN 6-0 131:1   142 STL 14-5 555:1
43 STL 9-2 30:1   93 STL 13-1 140:1   143 STL 15-3 555:1
44 LAN 6-5 31:1   94 STL 11-5 141:1   144 LAN 11-3 567:1
45 LAN 6-4 32:1   95 LAN 9-5 141:1   145 LAN 11-4 581:1
46 LAN 2-0 32:1   96 STL 12-4 143:1   146 LAN 11-5 581:1
47 LAN 6-3 34:1   97 STL 13-2 147:1   147 LAN 11-7 581:1
48 STL 7-5 34:1   98 LAN 9-4 148:1   148 LAN 11-6 594:1
49 STL 9-0 38:1   99 STL 9-7 153:1   149 STL 11-10 609:1
50 LAN 3-0 38:1   100 LAN 8-1 157:1   150 STL 16-2 624:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U  Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Cardinals runs minus Dodgers runs: 1.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Nathan Eovaldi Strikeouts minus Walks: 2.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Nathan Eovaldi Pitch Count: 91.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Chris Carpenter Strikeouts: 6.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Albert Pujols drives in 2 or more runs: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Cardinals win by four or more runs: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) The Dodgers get shutout: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,E,F must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

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