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Dodgers vs Cardinals, August 23rd Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Tuesday at 9:00 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Clayton Kershaw Kyle Lohse Dodgers 52.15 6.2 41.13% 7.58

 

1 STL 3-2 5:1   51 LAN 7-5 41:1   101 LAN 10-3 177:1
2 STL 2-1 6:1   52 STL 8-1 42:1   102 STL 12-3 178:1
3 STL 4-3 6:1   53 STL 7-5 44:1   103 STL 11-5 178:1
4 STL 5-4 8:1   54 STL 7-0 44:1   104 LAN 9-7 179:1
5 LAN 3-2 8:1   55 STL 8-3 46:1   105 STL 10-6 180:1
6 LAN 2-1 9:1   56 LAN 7-6 46:1   106 LAN 10-4 184:1
7 LAN 4-3 10:1   57 LAN 7-1 47:1   107 LAN 9-8 196:1
8 STL 1-0 10:1   58 LAN 6-0 49:1   108 STL 11-0 201:1
9 STL 4-2 11:1   59 STL 9-2 50:1   109 STL 12-4 208:1
10 STL 3-1 11:1   60 STL 8-7 51:1   110 LAN 10-1 219:1
11 LAN 3-1 11:1   61 STL 8-4 52:1   111 STL 10-9 219:1
12 LAN 4-2 12:1   62 STL 9-3 54:1   112 LAN 10-6 231:1
13 STL 4-1 12:1   63 LAN 8-3 56:1   113 STL 12-1 237:1
14 STL 5-2 13:1   64 STL 8-0 60:1   114 LAN 11-2 244:1
15 STL 6-5 14:1   65 LAN 8-2 61:1   115 STL 10-7 252:1
16 STL 5-3 14:1   66 STL 8-5 61:1   116 LAN 10-5 271:1
17 LAN 4-1 14:1   67 LAN 8-4 63:1   117 LAN 11-3 271:1
18 LAN 5-4 15:1   68 STL 9-1 64:1   118 STL 13-2 274:1
19 STL 2-0 15:1   69 STL 9-4 67:1   119 LAN 10-7 277:1
20 LAN 5-2 16:1   70 LAN 8-5 69:1   120 STL 12-0 290:1
21 STL 3-0 16:1   71 LAN 8-1 72:1   121 STL 12-5 293:1
22 LAN 5-3 16:1   72 LAN 7-0 72:1   122 STL 13-3 312:1
23 STL 5-1 16:1   73 STL 10-3 77:1   123 STL 13-1 320:1
24 LAN 1-0 17:1   74 LAN 8-6 77:1   124 LAN 11-1 333:1
25 LAN 2-0 18:1   75 STL 10-2 79:1   125 LAN 10-0 351:1
26 LAN 3-0 19:1   76 STL 10-1 80:1   126 LAN 11-5 356:1
27 STL 6-2 19:1   77 STL 8-6 87:1   127 LAN 11-4 362:1
28 STL 4-0 19:1   78 STL 9-0 90:1   128 STL 11-6 362:1
29 STL 6-3 20:1   79 LAN 8-7 95:1   129 STL 14-2 372:1
30 STL 6-1 20:1   80 LAN 9-2 97:1   130 LAN 10-8 402:1
31 LAN 5-1 21:1   81 LAN 8-0 102:1   131 STL 10-8 416:1
32 STL 6-4 22:1   82 LAN 9-3 103:1   132 STL 13-4 423:1
33 LAN 6-3 23:1   83 STL 9-5 104:1   133 LAN 11-0 446:1
34 STL 5-0 24:1   84 LAN 9-5 104:1   134 LAN 12-4 454:1
35 LAN 6-4 24:1   85 LAN 9-4 106:1   135 LAN 10-9 480:1
36 STL 7-2 25:1   86 STL 10-4 107:1   136 STL 12-6 489:1
37 LAN 6-5 25:1   87 STL 9-8 109:1   137 STL 13-5 489:1
38 LAN 4-0 25:1   88 STL 11-3 111:1   138 STL 11-7 509:1
39 LAN 6-2 26:1   89 LAN 9-1 117:1   139 STL 14-3 520:1
40 STL 7-6 26:1   90 STL 9-6 124:1   140 LAN 11-7 531:1
41 LAN 6-1 28:1   91 STL 11-2 127:1   141 STL 13-0 567:1
42 STL 7-1 29:1   92 STL 10-0 129:1   142 STL 14-1 581:1
43 STL 7-3 30:1   93 LAN 9-6 132:1   143 LAN 11-6 581:1
44 STL 6-0 31:1   94 STL 11-1 143:1   144 STL 11-8 594:1
45 STL 7-4 32:1   95 LAN 10-2 150:1   145 STL 11-10 609:1
46 LAN 5-0 34:1   96 LAN 9-0 152:1   146 STL 14-4 624:1
47 LAN 7-3 36:1   97 STL 10-5 152:1   147 LAN 12-5 624:1
48 STL 8-2 36:1   98 STL 11-4 158:1   148 LAN 12-3 640:1
49 LAN 7-4 37:1   99 STL 9-7 163:1   149 STL 12-7 675:1
50 LAN 7-2 40:1   100 STL 12-2 166:1   150 STL 15-2 694:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U  Total Runs Scored: 6.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Cardinals runs minus Dodgers runs: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Kershaw strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Matt Kemp minus Albert Pujols Total Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers LOB: 6.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp drives in 2 or more runs: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Kershaw strikes out 10 or more : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) The Cardinals get shutout: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,F,G must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

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