FanPost

Dodgers vs Cardinals, August 24th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Wednesday at 12:01 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Hiroki Kuroda Jaime Garcia Cardinals 58.59% 7.2 67.22% 7.57

 

1 STL 3-2 5:1   51 STL 9-2 42:1   101 STL 10-6 169:1
2 STL 2-1 6:1   52 LAN 7-3 45:1   102 LAN 8-0 173:1
3 STL 4-3 6:1   53 STL 7-5 45:1   103 LAN 9-1 183:1
4 STL 5-4 9:1   54 STL 8-4 46:1   104 LAN 9-7 183:1
5 STL 3-1 9:1   55 STL 9-3 47:1   105 STL 13-1 187:1
6 LAN 3-2 9:1   56 LAN 7-4 48:1   106 STL 11-5 192:1
7 STL 4-2 10:1   57 LAN 6-1 48:1   107 STL 13-2 201:1
8 STL 1-0 10:1   58 STL 9-0 51:1   108 STL 12-4 203:1
9 STL 4-1 10:1   59 LAN 7-5 51:1   109 LAN 9-8 227:1
10 LAN 2-1 10:1   60 LAN 7-6 52:1   110 LAN 10-4 229:1
11 LAN 4-3 12:1   61 LAN 5-0 52:1   111 LAN 10-3 235:1
12 STL 3-0 12:1   62 LAN 7-2 53:1   112 STL 13-3 237:1
13 STL 5-2 12:1   63 STL 8-5 56:1   113 STL 13-0 240:1
14 STL 2-0 12:1   64 STL 8-7 56:1   114 LAN 10-2 247:1
15 STL 5-1 12:1   65 STL 10-1 59:1   115 STL 11-6 257:1
16 STL 4-0 14:1   66 STL 10-2 60:1   116 STL 10-9 260:1
17 STL 5-3 14:1   67 STL 9-4 61:1   117 STL 12-5 265:1
18 LAN 4-2 14:1   68 STL 10-0 70:1   118 LAN 10-1 274:1
19 STL 6-5 14:1   69 LAN 7-1 70:1   119 LAN 10-5 283:1
20 LAN 3-1 14:1   70 STL 10-3 72:1   120 LAN 10-6 283:1
21 STL 5-0 16:1   71 STL 8-6 72:1   121 STL 10-7 290:1
22 STL 6-1 16:1   72 LAN 8-4 77:1   122 STL 14-2 308:1
23 STL 6-2 16:1   73 LAN 8-3 78:1   123 STL 14-1 333:1
24 STL 6-3 17:1   74 LAN 6-0 80:1   124 STL 13-4 333:1
25 LAN 5-4 17:1   75 LAN 8-5 82:1   125 LAN 9-0 333:1
26 LAN 1-0 19:1   76 LAN 8-2 84:1   126 LAN 11-4 346:1
27 LAN 5-3 19:1   77 STL 9-5 86:1   127 LAN 10-8 351:1
28 STL 6-0 19:1   78 STL 11-2 87:1   128 LAN 10-7 356:1
29 LAN 4-1 20:1   79 STL 11-3 88:1   129 STL 14-3 362:1
30 LAN 5-2 20:1   80 STL 11-1 90:1   130 LAN 11-3 384:1
31 STL 7-1 21:1   81 LAN 8-6 94:1   131 STL 14-0 384:1
32 STL 7-2 21:1   82 STL 10-4 102:1   132 STL 11-7 423:1
33 LAN 2-0 23:1   83 LAN 7-0 103:1   133 STL 12-6 471:1
34 STL 6-4 23:1   84 LAN 8-1 110:1   134 LAN 11-5 471:1
35 STL 7-3 27:1   85 STL 9-8 110:1   135 STL 14-4 480:1
36 STL 7-0 27:1   86 STL 11-0 114:1   136 STL 10-8 480:1
37 LAN 3-0 27:1   87 LAN 8-7 116:1   137 LAN 10-9 480:1
38 STL 7-6 28:1   88 STL 10-5 117:1   138 STL 13-5 520:1
39 LAN 5-1 28:1   89 LAN 9-4 117:1   139 LAN 11-2 531:1
40 LAN 6-4 29:1   90 STL 12-1 118:1   140 STL 15-2 555:1
41 STL 8-2 29:1   91 STL 11-4 127:1   141 STL 11-8 581:1
42 STL 8-1 29:1   92 STL 12-2 130:1   142 LAN 11-6 581:1
43 LAN 6-3 29:1   93 LAN 9-5 132:1   143 STL 15-1 609:1
44 LAN 6-5 29:1   94 STL 12-3 134:1   144 STL 13-6 624:1
45 STL 7-4 31:1   95 LAN 9-3 142:1   145 LAN 11-8 624:1
46 LAN 6-2 35:1   96 STL 9-6 148:1   146 STL 15-0 675:1
47 STL 8-3 35:1   97 STL 12-0 154:1   147 STL 14-5 694:1
48 STL 8-0 36:1   98 LAN 9-2 161:1   148 STL 15-3 694:1
49 LAN 4-0 37:1   99 LAN 9-6 167:1   149 LAN 11-7 694:1
50 STL 9-1 41:1   100 STL 9-7 168:1   150 LAN 10-0 694:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U  Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Hiroki Kuroda K-BB: 3.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Albert Pujols minus Matt Kemp TB: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Dodgers total hits: 7.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers relief pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp drives in 2 or more runs: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Dodgers score in the first inning : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Lance Berkman hits a HR: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions B,C,F,H must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

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