FanPost

Rockies vs Dodgers, August 28th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 12:01 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Jhoulys Chacin Nathan Eovaldi Dodgers 53.81% 7.8 44.06% 7.81

 

1 LAN 3-2 6:1   51 COL 7-6 36:1   101 LAN 10-3 174:1
2 LAN 4-3 7:1   52 LAN 7-3 37:1   102 COL 11-5 175:1
3 COL 3-2 7:1   53 COL 7-0 39:1   103 COL 12-2 179:1
4 LAN 2-1 8:1   54 LAN 7-5 39:1   104 LAN 10-2 180:1
5 COL 4-3 8:1   55 COL 8-4 41:1   105 COL 12-3 186:1
6 COL 2-1 9:1   56 COL 9-2 42:1   106 COL 10-7 189:1
7 LAN 5-4 10:1   57 LAN 7-2 42:1   107 COL 11-0 203:1
8 COL 4-2 10:1   58 LAN 5-0 43:1   108 LAN 10-4 211:1
9 COL 3-1 10:1   59 COL 8-5 47:1   109 LAN 10-1 213:1
10 LAN 4-2 12:1   60 COL 9-3 48:1   110 LAN 10-5 220:1
11 LAN 3-1 12:1   61 COL 9-1 50:1   111 COL 12-1 220:1
12 COL 5-3 12:1   62 COL 8-0 54:1   112 COL 12-4 233:1
13 COL 5-2 12:1   63 LAN 7-1 56:1   113 LAN 9-0 249:1
14 COL 4-1 12:1   64 LAN 8-7 58:1   114 COL 13-2 260:1
15 COL 5-4 13:1   65 LAN 8-3 60:1   115 COL 12-5 262:1
16 LAN 4-1 15:1   66 COL 8-6 61:1   116 COL 11-6 274:1
17 LAN 6-5 15:1   67 COL 9-4 62:1   117 LAN 10-7 287:1
18 LAN 5-3 15:1   68 LAN 8-2 64:1   118 COL 10-8 287:1
19 LAN 1-0 15:1   69 LAN 6-0 65:1   119 LAN 11-2 287:1
20 COL 3-0 15:1   70 COL 8-7 65:1   120 COL 12-0 293:1
21 COL 5-1 16:1   71 COL 10-2 67:1   121 LAN 10-9 297:1
22 LAN 5-2 16:1   72 LAN 8-5 67:1   122 LAN 11-5 297:1
23 COL 2-0 16:1   73 LAN 8-4 70:1   123 LAN 10-6 297:1
24 COL 6-3 16:1   74 COL 10-3 73:1   124 LAN 11-4 300:1
25 COL 1-0 17:1   75 COL 9-0 77:1   125 LAN 11-3 312:1
26 COL 6-2 17:1   76 COL 9-5 77:1   126 COL 11-7 324:1
27 COL 6-4 18:1   77 LAN 8-1 78:1   127 COL 13-0 333:1
28 COL 4-0 20:1   78 COL 10-1 84:1   128 COL 13-3 356:1
29 LAN 2-0 20:1   79 LAN 8-6 87:1   129 COL 10-9 362:1
30 COL 6-1 20:1   80 LAN 7-0 89:1   130 LAN 12-3 367:1
31 LAN 6-3 21:1   81 COL 9-6 91:1   131 LAN 10-8 384:1
32 COL 6-5 21:1   82 COL 10-4 93:1   132 COL 13-1 384:1
33 COL 5-0 23:1   83 LAN 9-2 98:1   133 COL 13-4 384:1
34 LAN 3-0 23:1   84 LAN 9-3 102:1   134 LAN 11-6 423:1
35 LAN 5-1 23:1   85 COL 11-3 109:1   135 LAN 11-1 423:1
36 LAN 6-4 23:1   86 COL 11-2 114:1   136 COL 11-8 430:1
37 COL 7-2 23:1   87 COL 10-5 114:1   137 COL 13-5 454:1
38 LAN 6-2 25:1   88 LAN 9-8 118:1   138 LAN 11-7 489:1
39 COL 7-3 25:1   89 COL 10-0 118:1   139 LAN 12-4 489:1
40 LAN 7-6 26:1   90 LAN 9-4 121:1   140 LAN 10-0 499:1
41 COL 7-4 27:1   91 LAN 9-5 127:1   141 COL 12-6 509:1
42 COL 7-1 27:1   92 COL 11-1 129:1   142 LAN 12-2 520:1
43 COL 6-0 28:1   93 COL 11-4 129:1   143 COL 14-4 531:1
44 LAN 6-1 31:1   94 COL 9-7 132:1   144 COL 14-3 543:1
45 COL 8-2 31:1   95 LAN 9-1 138:1   145 COL 14-2 581:1
46 COL 8-1 31:1   96 COL 10-6 138:1   146 LAN 11-8 609:1
47 LAN 4-0 31:1   97 LAN 9-6 143:1   147 COL 12-7 624:1
48 COL 7-5 31:1   98 LAN 8-0 145:1   148 COL 11-9 640:1
49 COL 8-3 32:1   99 COL 9-8 168:1   149 LAN 12-5 657:1
50 LAN 7-4 36:1   100 LAN 9-7 174:1   150 LAN 11-10 675:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Dodgers runs minus Rockies runs: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Nathan Eovaldi K-BB: 1.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Matt Kemp hits minus Nathan Eovaldi HRs allowed: 0.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Total hits combined both teams: 16.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Nathan Eovaldi is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp steals a base : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp gets more than 4 total bases: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#20 LAN 4-2
10AO
5CU
15DU
10H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions C,D,F,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.  Odds in the score table are the "true odds" divided by four.


August Leaderboard Via Google Docs

This is a fan-written post that is in no way affiliated with or related to any of the authors or editors of True Blue LA. The opinions reflected in this post do not necessarily reflect those of True Blue LA, its authors or editors.