Dodgers vs Braves, September 2nd Simulation + Contest
by Xeifrank on Sep 1, 2011 11:28 PM PDT
Email
PrintRules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it. You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score. If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score. Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so. For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess. I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll. As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet. A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.
Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).
Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)
Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H
Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 11:10 PM)
| Vis Pitcher | Home Pitcher | Vegas Favorite | Vegas Win% | Vegas O/U | Sim Fave Win% | Sim O/U |
| Chad Billingsley | Brandon Beachy | Braves | 60.86% | 7.6 | 64.49% | 7.80 |
| 1 ATL 3-2 5:1 | 51 ATL 8-4 40:1 | 101 ATL 12-3 156:1 | ||
| 2 ATL 2-1 6:1 | 52 LAN 7-5 45:1 | 102 LAN 10-3 156:1 | ||
| 3 ATL 4-3 6:1 | 53 LAN 7-2 45:1 | 103 ATL 11-5 157:1 | ||
| 4 ATL 3-1 9:1 | 54 LAN 7-3 46:1 | 104 ATL 12-2 163:1 | ||
| 5 ATL 4-2 9:1 | 55 ATL 9-2 47:1 | 105 LAN 10-4 163:1 | ||
| 6 ATL 5-4 9:1 | 56 LAN 7-4 47:1 | 106 LAN 9-7 170:1 | ||
| 7 LAN 3-2 9:1 | 57 ATL 9-1 47:1 | 107 ATL 10-6 173:1 | ||
| 8 ATL 4-1 10:1 | 58 LAN 7-6 47:1 | 108 LAN 9-8 189:1 | ||
| 9 LAN 2-1 11:1 | 59 ATL 8-0 48:1 | 109 ATL 13-1 193:1 | ||
| 10 ATL 5-2 11:1 | 60 ATL 8-5 49:1 | 110 LAN 10-5 204:1 | ||
| 11 ATL 1-0 11:1 | 61 LAN 5-0 51:1 | 111 ATL 12-0 209:1 | ||
| 12 LAN 4-3 12:1 | 62 ATL 9-3 52:1 | 112 ATL 10-7 211:1 | ||
| 13 ATL 2-0 13:1 | 63 ATL 8-7 56:1 | 113 ATL 12-4 211:1 | ||
| 14 ATL 5-3 13:1 | 64 ATL 10-2 57:1 | 114 LAN 9-0 215:1 | ||
| 15 ATL 3-0 13:1 | 65 LAN 7-1 57:1 | 115 LAN 10-1 231:1 | ||
| 16 LAN 3-1 14:1 | 66 LAN 8-2 59:1 | 116 ATL 13-2 235:1 | ||
| 17 ATL 5-1 14:1 | 67 ATL 9-0 64:1 | 117 LAN 10-6 235:1 | ||
| 18 LAN 4-2 14:1 | 68 ATL 8-6 65:1 | 118 ATL 11-6 240:1 | ||
| 19 ATL 6-5 15:1 | 69 ATL 9-4 65:1 | 119 ATL 13-3 249:1 | ||
| 20 ATL 6-3 16:1 | 70 LAN 8-3 66:1 | 120 LAN 11-3 249:1 | ||
| 21 LAN 5-4 17:1 | 71 ATL 10-1 70:1 | 121 LAN 10-7 252:1 | ||
| 22 ATL 4-0 17:1 | 72 ATL 10-3 71:1 | 122 LAN 11-2 254:1 | ||
| 23 LAN 5-3 18:1 | 73 LAN 8-5 74:1 | 123 ATL 10-9 265:1 | ||
| 24 ATL 6-2 18:1 | 74 LAN 8-4 77:1 | 124 LAN 11-5 268:1 | ||
| 25 ATL 6-1 19:1 | 75 LAN 6-0 77:1 | 125 ATL 12-5 280:1 | ||
| 26 LAN 4-1 19:1 | 76 ATL 9-5 79:1 | 126 ATL 14-2 297:1 | ||
| 27 LAN 1-0 19:1 | 77 LAN 8-6 83:1 | 127 LAN 11-4 297:1 | ||
| 28 ATL 6-4 20:1 | 78 ATL 10-4 84:1 | 128 ATL 13-0 297:1 | ||
| 29 LAN 5-2 20:1 | 79 LAN 8-1 87:1 | 129 ATL 10-8 304:1 | ||
| 30 LAN 2-0 20:1 | 80 ATL 11-2 91:1 | 130 LAN 11-1 328:1 | ||
| 31 ATL 5-0 21:1 | 81 ATL 9-6 94:1 | 131 ATL 13-4 342:1 | ||
| 32 ATL 7-2 22:1 | 82 ATL 10-0 94:1 | 132 LAN 10-0 351:1 | ||
| 33 ATL 7-1 23:1 | 83 ATL 11-1 97:1 | 133 ATL 14-3 362:1 | ||
| 34 ATL 6-0 25:1 | 84 LAN 8-7 98:1 | 134 LAN 11-7 362:1 | ||
| 35 ATL 7-3 25:1 | 85 LAN 9-3 104:1 | 135 LAN 10-8 367:1 | ||
| 36 ATL 7-6 26:1 | 86 LAN 9-4 104:1 | 136 ATL 11-7 372:1 | ||
| 37 LAN 3-0 27:1 | 87 LAN 9-2 106:1 | 137 ATL 14-1 390:1 | ||
| 38 LAN 6-5 27:1 | 88 ATL 11-3 107:1 | 138 ATL 12-6 409:1 | ||
| 39 LAN 6-3 27:1 | 89 LAN 7-0 108:1 | 139 LAN 12-3 416:1 | ||
| 40 ATL 7-4 28:1 | 90 ATL 9-8 121:1 | 140 LAN 11-6 423:1 | ||
| 41 LAN 6-4 29:1 | 91 LAN 9-5 122:1 | 141 ATL 13-5 430:1 | ||
| 42 LAN 5-1 29:1 | 92 ATL 10-5 124:1 | 142 ATL 11-8 446:1 | ||
| 43 LAN 6-2 31:1 | 93 ATL 11-4 126:1 | 143 LAN 12-6 446:1 | ||
| 44 ATL 8-2 31:1 | 94 LAN 9-6 129:1 | 144 LAN 10-9 454:1 | ||
| 45 ATL 8-1 32:1 | 95 ATL 11-0 135:1 | 145 LAN 12-2 499:1 | ||
| 46 ATL 8-3 34:1 | 96 LAN 9-1 139:1 | 146 ATL 12-7 499:1 | ||
| 47 ATL 7-5 35:1 | 97 LAN 8-0 143:1 | 147 LAN 12-5 499:1 | ||
| 48 ATL 7-0 36:1 | 98 LAN 10-2 146:1 | 148 LAN 12-1 499:1 | ||
| 49 LAN 4-0 37:1 | 99 ATL 9-7 151:1 | 149 ATL 11-10 520:1 | ||
| 50 LAN 6-1 37:1 | 100 ATL 12-1 155:1 | 150 ATL 15-3 543:1 |
Actual Contest Questions
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Dodgers Runs Scored: 2.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Chad Billingsley walks plus hits: 8.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Matt Kemp Hits + RBIs : 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Jayson Heyward Hits + RBIs: 1.5 (1:1)
F. (Prop bet) Dodgers win the game: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Chad Billingsley gets a hit: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Dodgers or Braves get shutout: (5:1)
Sample Bet
#30 LAN 2-0
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H
Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid. 250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title. Players in questions C,D,E,G must all start for that question to be valid.
Everyone begins the contest with a bankroll of 100 units
18 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
1. Phil Gurnee (400)
2. fbihop (235)
3. Eric Stephen (205)
4. MammothDodger (150)
5. Josie Becker (150)
6. HummaKavula (140)
6. WGiles24 (140)
8. David Young (132)
9. Xeifrank (67)
10. truemontenegro (50)
-————- Max bet 25 units below this line -————————
11. G.Scott (0)
# 41 LAN 6 - 4
25AO
25BO
25CO
25DO
25F
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen
for those mathletes out there
Is there a way to measure whether it’s better to make bets like these or just gamble it all one one thing? Do you have a better probability of winning the most points if you bet on five different categories with equal bets or just dropping 125 on one?
by truemontenegro on Sep 2, 2011 11:10 AM PDT up reply actions
#77 LAN 8-6 OOOUU Yes-No-No
Updated leaderboard
1. Phil Gurnee (500, 100)
2. Eric Stephen (315, 110)
3. fbihop (210, -25)
4. HummaKavula (140, 0)
4. MammothDodger (140, -10)
6. David Young (132, 0)
7. Josie Becker (125, -25)
8. WGiles24 (120, -20)
9. keithc13 (100, 0)
9. 68elcamino (100, 0)
11. truemontenegro (60, 10)
12. Xeifrank (34, -33)
13. G.Scott (25, 25)
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
Related FanPosts on True Blue LA
Related FanShots on True Blue LA
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Recommended FanPosts
Recent FanPosts
In Association With
Big League Stew - MLB - Yahoo! Sports
- Eric Hosmer redefines the Baltimore chop with infield double (Video)
- College player makes impossible over the fence catch to save tournament game (Video)
- Security!: Camden Yards guard collides with Royals’ Mike Moustakas
- The Juice: Nelson Cruz matches career high eight RBIs, Pujols stays hot in Seattle
- Benches clear at Fenway as Red Sox-Rays rivalry heats up
