FanPost

Dodgers vs Giants, September 10th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Saturday at 1:15 AM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Dana Eveland Ryan Vogelsong Giants TBD TBD 65.39% 8.48

 

1 SF 3-2 6:1   51 SF 8-7 36:1   101 SF 11-0 137:1
2 SF 4-3 6:1   52 LAN 7-3 38:1   102 LAN 10-3 138:1
3 SF 5-4 7:1   53 SF 7-0 38:1   103 SF 12-1 140:1
4 SF 2-1 8:1   54 LAN 3-0 39:1   104 LAN 7-0 145:1
5 SF 4-2 10:1   55 SF 9-2 40:1   105 SF 12-4 146:1
6 LAN 3-2 10:1   56 SF 8-5 40:1   106 LAN 10-4 153:1
7 SF 3-1 10:1   57 SF 9-1 41:1   107 LAN 8-0 164:1
8 LAN 4-3 11:1   58 SF 9-3 41:1   108 LAN 10-5 170:1
9 SF 6-5 11:1   59 LAN 6-1 41:1   109 LAN 10-2 177:1
10 SF 5-2 12:1   60 LAN 7-2 46:1   110 LAN 9-1 179:1
11 SF 4-1 12:1   61 SF 8-0 48:1   111 LAN 10-6 179:1
12 SF 5-3 12:1   62 SF 9-4 53:1   112 SF 12-5 182:1
13 LAN 5-4 14:1   63 SF 10-1 57:1   113 SF 10-7 192:1
14 LAN 2-1 14:1   64 LAN 4-0 58:1   114 SF 10-9 198:1
15 LAN 4-2 14:1   65 SF 8-6 58:1   115 SF 13-3 198:1
16 SF 5-1 15:1   66 LAN 8-3 58:1   116 SF 13-1 203:1
17 SF 6-2 15:1   67 SF 10-3 58:1   117 LAN 10-8 203:1
18 SF 6-3 16:1   68 LAN 8-4 58:1   118 LAN 10-7 206:1
19 LAN 3-1 17:1   69 SF 10-2 59:1   119 SF 11-6 208:1
20 SF 6-4 18:1   70 LAN 8-5 59:1   120 SF 13-2 208:1
21 LAN 5-3 18:1   71 LAN 8-6 60:1   121 SF 12-0 213:1
22 SF 6-1 18:1   72 LAN 8-7 61:1   122 SF 10-8 217:1
23 SF 3-0 18:1   73 SF 9-5 63:1   123 LAN 11-4 233:1
24 SF 7-6 19:1   74 LAN 7-1 65:1   124 SF 13-4 237:1
25 LAN 6-5 19:1   75 LAN 5-0 66:1   125 LAN 11-5 244:1
26 SF 2-0 19:1   76 SF 10-4 68:1   126 LAN 10-1 247:1
27 SF 1-0 19:1   77 SF 9-8 70:1   127 LAN 10-9 247:1
28 SF 4-0 20:1   78 SF 9-0 72:1   128 SF 11-7 260:1
29 SF 7-2 20:1   79 LAN 8-2 73:1   129 SF 12-6 262:1
30 LAN 6-4 21:1   80 SF 11-2 82:1   130 LAN 11-7 293:1
31 LAN 5-2 21:1   81 SF 9-6 83:1   131 SF 14-3 297:1
32 SF 7-3 22:1   82 SF 11-3 84:1   132 LAN 11-3 316:1
33 SF 7-1 22:1   83 SF 11-1 86:1   133 LAN 11-1 320:1
34 SF 5-0 23:1   84 LAN 9-5 88:1   134 LAN 11-6 324:1
35 SF 7-4 23:1   85 SF 10-5 89:1   135 SF 13-5 337:1
36 LAN 4-1 23:1   86 LAN 9-3 89:1   136 LAN 11-2 378:1
37 SF 8-2 27:1   87 LAN 6-0 91:1   137 SF 14-1 378:1
38 SF 8-3 27:1   88 SF 11-4 94:1   138 SF 11-10 384:1
39 LAN 6-3 27:1   89 LAN 9-4 98:1   139 SF 13-0 384:1
40 SF 6-0 29:1   90 LAN 8-1 98:1   140 SF 14-2 396:1
41 SF 7-5 29:1   91 LAN 9-7 98:1   141 LAN 9-0 402:1
42 LAN 6-2 30:1   92 LAN 9-6 99:1   142 LAN 12-4 402:1
43 SF 8-1 30:1   93 SF 10-0 100:1   143 SF 13-6 409:1
44 LAN 1-0 31:1   94 LAN 9-2 109:1   144 SF 11-8 409:1
45 LAN 5-1 32:1   95 LAN 9-8 113:1   145 LAN 12-5 409:1
46 LAN 7-5 32:1   96 SF 11-5 117:1   146 LAN 11-8 430:1
47 LAN 2-0 34:1   97 SF 12-3 127:1   147 SF 12-7 446:1
48 LAN 7-6 35:1   98 SF 9-7 129:1   148 SF 14-4 454:1
49 SF 8-4 36:1   99 SF 10-6 130:1   149 LAN 11-9 454:1
50 LAN 7-4 36:1   100 SF 12-2 132:1   150 LAN 12-3 462:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Dee Gordon number of runs scored: 0.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Dana Eveland HRs Allowed: 0.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Ryan Vogelsong Earned Runs minus Matt Kemp Total bases: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Giants runs minus Dodgers runs: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U James Loney total bases: 1.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Dana Eveland is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Dodgers win by more than 2 runs: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) One of the two teams scores three or more runs in at least one inning: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#30 LAN 2-0
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions A,B,C,E,F must all start for that question to be valid.

 


Note: I will be on vacation during the month of September. There will be no contest between the dates of 9/16 and 9/25.


September Monthly Leaderboard

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