Casey Blake 2011 Prognostication Review
by Phil Gurnee on Sep 3, 2011 12:07 PM PDT
in Community Projections
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PrintEvery spring TBLA writes up a player preview for just about every player expected to play in 2011, and ask TBLA members to give us their prognostications on what that player will do.
On March 13th Eric Stephen wrote up the Casey Blake preview, with Casey now down for the year let us take a look at what our members felt he'd do.
Casey Blake's Final 2011 Line:
239 Plate Appearances
Ten Doubles, one Triple, four home runs
32 Runs Scores, 26 Runs Batted In
.252 / .342 / .371 BA / OB / Slug%
The four below I felt were the closest. You tell me who you think nailed it, I'm going with Little Blue and SilverWidow as co-winners because they nailed the average, drop in slug, and most importantly the at bats.
Pessimism
.235/.305/.385 in 200 PA. He won’t get through the season without serious time out.
Nailed the OB but was to optimistic on the Slug and playing time
.663 OPS against RHP last lear in over 400 plate appearances
If not for his stellar work against LHP he would really have been a drag. I think by the all-star game he is a platoon player, so 402 at bats, .259/.323/.420 with most of his damage again coming against LHP.
To many starts hurts this call but the numbers line up.
109 starts at 3B, .252 / .322 / .409, option not picked up.
@davidyoungtbla - The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.
As a group we did not have many Casey Blake prognostications, the ones we did have were mostly negative and closer to correct then what Zips / Marcel / Bill James projected. In this case the TBLA group clearly defeated the experts.
Hats off to the TBLA members who beat the experts.
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Didn't get a chance to comment in the previous thread
But I’m glad to hear that D2X is content with Guerra and Jansen. No spending money on relievers, least of all closers because of how expensive they are.
Wondering how much this late run speaks to improvements of Mattingly as the manager. Don’t see any noticeably different strategies or tendencies from Donnie but I was on vacation when the run began. He is being more flexible with his lineups (for whatever that’s worth) and I’m really encouraged by his faith in Jansen and Guerra for next year.
Managers look good when the players hit the ball. Maybe the best move he made was simply removing Navarro and letting the team know everyone has to work hard. It does wonders for the team when the LF and 1st baseman are hitting the ball. Now we just need a 3rd baseman and next thing you know we’ll have a team.
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen
That was kind of my suspicion. I’m not a big fan of blaming managers in bad times and praising them in good times. That said, Mattingly did a lot of dumb shit early in the year (sac bunting, bullpen management, etc.) so I’m curious if others think that kind of stuff has stopped at all.
by Michael White on Sep 3, 2011 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Haven’t noticed to much, I just think we’ve been a head with big leads since Aug 12th. As BH noted we have been playing 600 since July 6th which just shows how bad we had been that we still aren’t at .500. (37 – 51).
As SKunkburner said this surge has been a team effort, with even Andre starting to pitch in, in the last week. They picked up Billlz last night against a rookie who had been damn good until he ran into the Dodger buzzsaw.
Once again Ned made a great offensive pickup for the second half. Anderson, Manny, Belliard, Rivera is impressive compared to everything else he does that does not impress me.
Patience is for those who die waiting for something to happen
warming Loney up in the pen was some nifty Jedi shit too :)
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
HJ is a broken record
they play hard for him
by Hollywood Joe on Sep 3, 2011 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions
In my opinion he shook up the line up. The departure of Raffy. And some great play by rooks. Justin should change his name to Steller, cause that’s how he’s playing. Loney is seeing the ball really good. Kemp at 3 and Rivera at 4, good move in my book. An all around great team effort.
by Skunkburner on Sep 3, 2011 12:20 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
I'm horrible at predictions.
I aim too high to fulfill some selfish reasons. I’ll always remember the real beard for mocking the fake beard.
by Skunkburner on Sep 3, 2011 12:16 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
I rarely predict what I think is going to happen
I mostly knowingly predict what I want to happen
by Hollywood Joe on Sep 3, 2011 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions
I remember I killed it with my Kershaw Prediction last season :)
No one else I’ve been close on, though, lol.
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
they realized down ten with four minutes that it was finally timme to try
by Josie Becker on Sep 3, 2011 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions
checks usually clear when Frank isn't writing them
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
Catching up yesterday
Josie made a comment about Jim Morrison vs. the Guess Who and which was more poetic…for the record it was a quote from Almost Famous if no one got it, she never attributed it!! :)
It was Phil S Hoffman playing the great critic Lester Bangs.
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
I was too amused by the conversation it started to attribute the quote : )
by Josie Becker on Sep 3, 2011 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions
it’s amazing to me that Almost Famous was based around a true life story, luckiest kid ever!
by Josie Becker on Sep 3, 2011 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Cameron Crowe has had quite a life
he’s been rather quiet lately…he wrote the book that Fast Times was based on, Fast Times being one of my fave comedies ever!
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
especially when their receivers have shown how fast they are
by Josie Becker on Sep 3, 2011 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions
They didn't contest a single throw in the last 3 minutes of the game
when you stop doing whats worked to go safe, it bites you in the ass too often.
I think this is the first time I’ve ever watched the “This Week on Baseball” show on Fox. They’re showing Trevor Hoffman getting his number retired by the Padres.
used to watch it in the 80s
with Mel Allen, looked forward to it every week along with the Game of the Week on NBC
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
Livan Hernandez is cool
“It’s part of the game,” Hernandez said. “I want to help the young guys. I don’ know what’s going to happen next year. I want to try to come back and be a long reliever only for this team. I will not do it for anybody else. Let’s see the situation. I’ll give it a chance. I explained how much I want [to be in Washington] to [general manager Mike] Rizzo. Let’s see what happens.”
So a state police officer in New Mexico was fired after a tape of him having sex in full uniform was uncovered.
saw that this week
didn’t know it was in NM…if that’s the worst thing a cop does while on duty, he’s OK in my book.
Overqualified in an underqualified world since 2008.
ND marched down the field with ease all the way down to the 1 yard line. They then fumbled and it was returned all the way for a touchdown.
by VegasBlues on Sep 3, 2011 12:48 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
could not have happen to a nicer school
i have an irrational hate for ND, almost to the point of my rational hate of all Boston sports clubs
"Pitching is the art of instilling fear."
by MammothDodger on Sep 3, 2011 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions
I had a feeling this was the exact response it would get.
I, however, have been a ND fan ever since I was a young kid (early 80’s) going to Catholic School (didn’t stay in Catholic school for long).
my brother went to Notre Dame, but we’re a USC family, even though I grew up cheering for UCLA (soccer coach’s alma mater)
by Josie Becker on Sep 3, 2011 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions
growing up in so cal
in the 60s-70s with OJ and AD and RB running all over the Irish is where my hatred started but i got over most of my team hating from when I was young but some reason I did not get over hating ND
"Pitching is the art of instilling fear."
by MammothDodger on Sep 3, 2011 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions
i rec it
some well needs to turn it green
"Pitching is the art of instilling fear."
by MammothDodger on Sep 3, 2011 12:53 PM PDT up reply actions
how did “one else” become “well”
"Pitching is the art of instilling fear."
by MammothDodger on Sep 3, 2011 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions
TD SC!
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
but went for 2 and failed
"Pitching is the art of instilling fear."
by MammothDodger on Sep 3, 2011 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions
LMAO
That Dick’s Sporting Goods commercial with Stephen Jackson was awesome
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
.277/.327/.384
Though it’s a bad line, who would have thought Loney would be this ‘good’ right now. Wow.
"If we hit that bull's eye, the rest of the dominoes will fall like a house of cards. Checkmate"
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