FanPost

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks, September 27th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Monday at 11:23 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Hiroki Kuroda Jarrod Parker Diamondbacks 51.22% 8.4 57.44% 8.85

 

1 ARI 4-3 6:1   51 LAN 1-0 35:1   101 ARI 10-6 112:1
2 ARI 3-2 6:1   52 ARI 8-3 37:1   102 LAN 8-0 121:1
3 ARI 5-4 8:1   53 ARI 8-4 38:1   103 LAN 10-6 121:1
4 ARI 2-1 9:1   54 ARI 8-5 39:1   104 ARI 11-1 126:1
5 LAN 4-3 10:1   55 ARI 8-1 42:1   105 ARI 11-5 129:1
6 LAN 3-2 10:1   56 ARI 6-0 42:1   106 LAN 10-1 131:1
7 ARI 6-5 11:1   57 LAN 8-5 43:1   107 ARI 10-7 137:1
8 ARI 4-2 11:1   58 LAN 8-3 43:1   108 ARI 10-9 140:1
9 ARI 5-3 12:1   59 LAN 4-0 43:1   109 LAN 10-7 147:1
10 LAN 5-4 13:1   60 LAN 7-1 43:1   110 ARI 12-3 149:1
11 LAN 4-2 13:1   61 LAN 8-2 45:1   111 ARI 10-0 149:1
12 ARI 3-1 13:1   62 LAN 8-4 47:1   112 LAN 11-2 156:1
13 ARI 5-2 13:1   63 LAN 8-6 47:1   113 ARI 12-4 158:1
14 LAN 5-3 14:1   64 LAN 5-0 49:1   114 LAN 11-3 161:1
15 ARI 4-1 15:1   65 ARI 8-6 49:1   115 LAN 10-8 163:1
16 LAN 2-1 15:1   66 ARI 9-3 50:1   116 ARI 12-2 164:1
17 ARI 6-3 16:1   67 ARI 9-2 51:1   117 LAN 11-4 173:1
18 LAN 5-2 16:1   68 ARI 7-0 52:1   118 ARI 12-1 186:1
19 LAN 3-1 16:1   69 LAN 8-7 52:1   119 ARI 12-5 187:1
20 ARI 6-4 18:1   70 ARI 9-1 55:1   120 LAN 11-1 189:1
21 LAN 6-5 18:1   71 ARI 9-4 56:1   121 ARI 11-6 190:1
22 ARI 7-6 18:1   72 LAN 6-0 59:1   122 LAN 11-5 192:1
23 LAN 4-1 19:1   73 LAN 9-3 59:1   123 ARI 10-8 193:1
24 LAN 6-4 19:1   74 ARI 9-8 60:1   124 LAN 12-3 209:1
25 ARI 6-2 20:1   75 LAN 8-1 64:1   125 LAN 10-9 211:1
26 LAN 6-3 20:1   76 LAN 9-4 64:1   126 ARI 11-0 213:1
27 ARI 5-1 21:1   77 ARI 10-2 66:1   127 LAN 9-0 215:1
28 ARI 1-0 22:1   78 ARI 9-5 69:1   128 ARI 13-2 222:1
29 ARI 6-1 24:1   79 ARI 10-3 71:1   129 LAN 12-4 235:1
30 ARI 7-4 24:1   80 LAN 9-2 71:1   130 LAN 11-6 237:1
31 LAN 5-1 25:1   81 ARI 8-0 72:1   131 ARI 13-1 242:1
32 LAN 6-2 25:1   82 LAN 9-5 73:1   132 LAN 10-0 244:1
33 ARI 7-3 25:1   83 ARI 10-4 78:1   133 LAN 11-7 244:1
34 ARI 2-0 25:1   84 LAN 9-6 78:1   134 ARI 13-3 249:1
35 ARI 3-0 26:1   85 ARI 9-6 79:1   135 ARI 11-7 257:1
36 ARI 7-2 26:1   86 ARI 10-1 86:1   136 ARI 12-6 257:1
37 LAN 7-3 27:1   87 ARI 9-7 91:1   137 LAN 12-5 265:1
38 LAN 7-4 27:1   88 LAN 10-2 94:1   138 LAN 12-2 274:1
39 ARI 7-5 28:1   89 LAN 9-7 95:1   139 LAN 11-8 280:1
40 LAN 7-6 29:1   90 LAN 7-0 97:1   140 ARI 13-4 283:1
41 LAN 7-5 30:1   91 ARI 11-3 98:1   141 ARI 13-5 304:1
42 ARI 4-0 31:1   92 LAN 10-3 98:1   142 LAN 11-9 320:1
43 LAN 2-0 31:1   93 LAN 10-4 100:1   143 ARI 11-8 333:1
44 ARI 8-7 32:1   94 LAN 9-1 101:1   144 ARI 11-10 337:1
45 LAN 3-0 32:1   95 ARI 10-5 107:1   145 LAN 12-6 337:1
46 ARI 7-1 32:1   96 ARI 9-0 109:1   146 LAN 13-5 346:1
47 LAN 6-1 33:1   97 ARI 11-2 109:1   147 LAN 13-3 356:1
48 LAN 7-2 34:1   98 LAN 9-8 109:1   148 LAN 13-4 356:1
49 ARI 8-2 34:1   99 LAN 10-5 110:1   149 LAN 12-1 356:1
50 ARI 5-0 35:1   100 ARI 11-4 111:1   150 ARI 12-0 362:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Matt Kemp Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Jarrod Parker outs recorded: 16.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Hiroki Kuroda outs recorded: 19.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers total hits: 8.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Jarrod Parker is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Matt Kemp hits a HR : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) A Dodger besides Matt Kemp hits a HR: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#99 LAN 10-5
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions B,C,D,F,G must all start for that question to be valid.

 


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