9/30 LDS Simulation Contest

by Xeifrank on Sep 29, 2011 11:10 PM PDT

Rules:
There will be ten questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other five will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess. I will keep a spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll. As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet. A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the LDS to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored (Tigers vs Yankees): 7.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Alex Rodriguez Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Justin Verlander number of wins: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U C.C. Sabathia Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Rays first run: (2:1)
G: Tigers score more than 5 runs: (3:1)
H: Carlos Ruiz gets hit by a pitch (4:1)
I: Derek Jeter hits a triple: (5:1)
J: Rangers get shutout: (10:1)

Possible Entry
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F
30J

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 10:00 PM PST)

Vis Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Vegas Favorite	Vegas Win%	Vegas O/U	Sim Fave Win%	Sim O/U
Matt Moore	C.J. Wilson	Rangers	62.76%	8.3	68.27%	8.60
Justin Verlander	C.C. Sabathia	Tigers	56.04%	7.2	61.18	7.61

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored (Rays vs Rangers): 8.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Robinson Cano Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
C. O/U C.C. Sabathia Outs Recorded: 22.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Rangers runs minus Rays runs: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Justin Verlander Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) C.J. Wilson is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Mariano Rivera gets a save : (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Yankees and Rangers both win by more than one run: (4:1)
I. (Prop bet) Alex Rodriguez hits a HR: (5:1)
J. (Prop bet) Rangers get shutout: (10:1)

Sample Bet
10AO
5CU
15DU
10G
12I

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid. 250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title. Players in questions B,C,E,F,G,I must all start for that question to be valid.

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LDS Contest

This is the simulation contest for all of the League Divisional Series games. There is a slight change, in that you will no longer guess the final score of the game (there will often be many games all combined into one contest). And to replace the game score guess I will add two more prop bets, one with 4:1 odds and the other with 10:1 odds. Everyone starts with 100 units. This portion of the contest will end when all of the LDS games have ended. Good luck.

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Sep 29, 2011 11:13 PM PDT reply actions

20BO
40G

@TElciram

by Taylor Maricle on Sep 30, 2011 12:10 AM PDT reply actions

25F
25G
20AU
30DO

If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.

by meercatjohn on Sep 30, 2011 8:54 AM PDT reply actions

10BO
15EO
25F
25G

magnae clunes mihi placent, nec possum de hac re mentiri.
quis enim, consortes mei, non fateatur

by Humma Kavula on Sep 30, 2011 9:39 AM PDT reply actions

5AU
5BU
10CO
5DO
5EU
5F
5H
2J

by StolenMonkey86 on Sep 30, 2011 10:46 AM PDT reply actions

I wish this didn't confuse the hell out of me

by Ivdown on Sep 30, 2011 11:08 AM PDT reply actions

Ok, starting to get it I think (quick turnaround)

50BO
25EU
10J

by Ivdown on Sep 30, 2011 11:11 AM PDT up reply actions

LOL

Carlos Ruiz gets hit by a pitch (4:1)

Follow @DavidYoungTBLA
- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Sep 30, 2011 11:21 AM PDT reply actions

25D O Rangers runs minus Rays runs: 1.5 (1:1)
10E O Justin Verlander Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)

30F. (Prop bet) C.J. Wilson is the winning pitcher: (2:1)
30G. (Prop bet) Mariano Rivera gets a save : (3:1)

Follow @DavidYoungTBLA
- The commenter formerly known as El Lay Dave.

by David Young on Sep 30, 2011 11:29 AM PDT reply actions

100 G

by Eric Stephen on Sep 30, 2011 12:00 PM PDT reply actions

50H

by keithc13 on Sep 30, 2011 12:52 PM PDT reply actions

dang

was stacking firewood most of today (hell of a way to spend a vacation day). totally forgot to look for the contest. if I can still get in with a 2nd game bet I take:

10G
10I

by MammothDodger on Sep 30, 2011 4:16 PM PDT reply actions

LDS Leaderboard

All bets with the Yankees game as the only bet are cancelled. The J bet is still good for people who missed the Rangers portion of it. The 10:1 bet hits on the first night. Here is the leaderboard.

Results: OXXUX No-X-No-X-Yes

1. ivdown (200, 100)
2. Taylor Maricle (100, 0)
2. StolenMonkey86 (100, 0)
2. Eric Stephen (100, 0)
2. MammothDodger (100, 0)
6. HummaKavula (75, -25)
7. keithc13 (50, -50)
8. David Young (45, -55)
9. Phil Gurnee (25, -75)

Dodger Sims | Twitter | Xei On Sports

by Xeifrank on Sep 30, 2011 10:09 PM PDT reply actions

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Pos	No	Player	2012 Salary
C	17	Ellis	$490,000
1B	7	Loney	$6,375,000
2B	37	Herrera	$375,082
3B	6	Hairston	$2,250,000
SS	9	Gordon	$485,000
LF	23	Abreu	$401,311
CF	10	Gwynn	$850,000
RF	16	Ethier	$10,950,000

OF/1B	33	Van Slyke	$388,197
2B/3B	3	Kennedy	$800,000
OF/1B	30	Sands	$375,175
IF	13	DeJesus	$448,992
C	18	Treanor	$850,000

SP	22	Kershaw	$6,000,000
SP	58	Billingsley	$9,000,000
SP	29	Lilly	$12,000,000
SP	44	Harang	$3,000,000
SP	35	Capuano	$3,000,000

CL	74	Jansen	$491,000
RHP	52	Lindblom	$483,000
RHP	51	Belisario	$414,426
RHP	54	Guerra	$488,000
RHP	28	Wright	$900,000
LHP	57	Elbert	$488,500
RHP	60	Coffey	$1,000,000

DL	27	Kemp	$10,000,000
DL	21	Rivera	$4,000,000
DL	12	Sellers	$481,000
DL	5	Uribe	$8,000,000
DL	55	Guerrier	$4,750,000
DL	14	Ellis	$2,500,000
60DL	36	Hawksworth	$495,000
60DL	41	De La Rosa	$485,000

AA	50	Eovaldi	$7,885
AAA	56	Antonini	$7,869

		Manny	$8,087,432	deferred
		Andruw	$3,375,000	deferred
		Pierre	$3,050,000	deferred
		Furcal	$3,000,000	deferred
		Kuroda	$2,000,000	deferred
		Garland	$1,500,000	option buyout
		Blake	$1,250,000	option buyout
DFA	66	MacDougal	$650,000

Totals			$115,942,869
For more detailed information, click here.
Current 40-man roster count: 42 (incl. De La Rosa & Hawksworth)

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9/30 LDS Simulation Contest

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