FanPost

Dodgers vs Giants, September 9th Simulation + Contest

Rules:
There will be eight questions. Five of them will have even money odds, the other three will have higher paying odds. You may answer any amount of the questions as you'd like and wager any amount as long as your wagers don't go over your remaining bankroll. Every person starts out with 100 points to wager with. A wrong guess loses points and a correct guess wins points (odds will always be whole number). You still pick the game score from the table of scores. Each game score has odds associated with it.  You will be given a free 5 unit bet on the game score.  If you pick the correct game score you win 5 times the odds for that score.  Try to make game score guesses unique, but there is no penalty for accidentally doing so.  For questions where a starting position player is the answer, I will allow guesses of "starting SS" instead of "Dee Gordon". But if you guess a players name, then that is your final guess.  I will keep a Google Docs spreadsheet keeping track of everyone's bankroll.  As people play for the first time, I will add them to the spreadsheet.  A minimum of 250 units must be risked over the month to be eligible for the title.

Steps:
1. Pick Game Score (ie - #27 LAN 6-2)
2. Wager on any of the 8 questions (don't wager more than current bankroll).

Example
A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Chad Billingsley Strikeouts: 5.5 (1:1)
C: O/U Andre Ethier Total Bases: 1.5 (1:1)
D: O/U Dee Gordon Stolen Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
E: O/U Number of Dodgers bullpen pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)
F: Player to score Dodgers first run: (2:1)
G: Dodgers Runs Scored > 6.5: (3:1)
H: Matt Kemp RBIs > 3.5 (5:1)

Possible Entry #25 LAN 6-2
4AO
6CU
5EU
8F Gordon
3G
2H

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Thursday at 10:15 PM)

Vis Pitcher Home Pitcher Vegas Favorite Vegas Win% Vegas O/U Sim Fave Win% Sim O/U
Clayton Kershaw Tim Lincecum Giants 54.02% 5.5 57.31% 6.86

 

1 SF 3-2 4:1   51 LAN 6-0 45:1   101 LAN 10-1 227:1
2 SF 2-1 4:1   52 SF 7-4 46:1   102 SF 9-7 233:1
3 SF 4-3 6:1   53 SF 8-1 46:1   103 SF 12-2 240:1
4 LAN 2-1 7:1   54 LAN 7-5 49:1   104 SF 10-5 247:1
5 LAN 3-2 7:1   55 SF 7-5 51:1   105 LAN 10-5 260:1
6 SF 1-0 7:1   56 SF 8-2 51:1   106 SF 11-0 262:1
7 SF 3-1 9:1   57 SF 8-3 58:1   107 LAN 11-3 268:1
8 SF 5-4 9:1   58 LAN 7-6 59:1   108 SF 11-4 271:1
9 LAN 4-3 10:1   59 LAN 8-2 61:1   109 LAN 11-2 297:1
10 LAN 3-1 10:1   60 SF 8-0 66:1   110 LAN 10-0 316:1
11 SF 4-2 10:1   61 LAN 8-3 66:1   111 SF 12-1 316:1
12 SF 2-0 11:1   62 LAN 7-0 70:1   112 SF 10-6 337:1
13 LAN 4-2 11:1   63 LAN 8-1 70:1   113 LAN 10-7 337:1
14 LAN 1-0 11:1   64 SF 8-4 71:1   114 SF 12-0 346:1
15 SF 4-1 12:1   65 SF 9-1 72:1   115 SF 12-3 351:1
16 SF 3-0 13:1   66 SF 8-7 74:1   116 LAN 11-4 362:1
17 LAN 2-0 13:1   67 LAN 8-4 75:1   117 SF 10-9 367:1
18 LAN 4-1 14:1   68 SF 9-2 76:1   118 SF 11-5 378:1
19 SF 5-2 15:1   69 SF 9-3 84:1   119 SF 12-4 384:1
20 SF 5-3 15:1   70 LAN 8-5 89:1   120 LAN 10-6 384:1
21 LAN 5-4 15:1   71 SF 9-0 90:1   121 SF 11-6 396:1
22 SF 6-5 16:1   72 SF 8-5 97:1   122 LAN 11-1 402:1
23 LAN 5-2 16:1   73 LAN 9-3 100:1   123 SF 13-1 446:1
24 SF 4-0 17:1   74 LAN 9-2 100:1   124 LAN 12-3 446:1
25 LAN 5-3 17:1   75 SF 10-2 102:1   125 LAN 11-5 471:1
26 SF 5-1 17:1   76 SF 8-6 107:1   126 LAN 10-8 471:1
27 LAN 3-0 18:1   77 LAN 8-6 107:1   127 SF 13-3 480:1
28 LAN 5-1 20:1   78 LAN 8-0 108:1   128 SF 13-2 480:1
29 SF 6-1 22:1   79 SF 9-4 109:1   129 LAN 12-1 499:1
30 SF 6-3 22:1   80 LAN 9-1 111:1   130 LAN 11-6 499:1
31 LAN 4-0 22:1   81 LAN 8-7 113:1   131 SF 10-7 509:1
32 SF 5-0 23:1   82 SF 10-1 115:1   132 LAN 12-2 520:1
33 SF 6-2 23:1   83 LAN 9-4 126:1   133 SF 10-8 543:1
34 SF 6-4 25:1   84 SF 10-3 134:1   134 LAN 11-0 567:1
35 LAN 6-3 26:1   85 SF 10-0 142:1   135 SF 11-7 594:1
36 LAN 6-4 26:1   86 SF 9-5 143:1   136 SF 13-4 609:1
37 LAN 6-2 27:1   87 SF 9-8 152:1   137 LAN 12-4 624:1
38 LAN 6-5 28:1   88 LAN 9-0 161:1   138 SF 12-5 657:1
39 SF 6-0 30:1   89 SF 10-4 162:1   139 LAN 10-9 694:1
40 LAN 6-1 30:1   90 LAN 10-2 164:1   140 SF 13-0 781:1
41 SF 7-1 31:1   91 SF 11-1 168:1   141 LAN 11-7 781:1
42 SF 7-6 32:1   92 LAN 9-5 174:1   142 SF 14-2 806:1
43 LAN 5-0 32:1   93 LAN 10-3 182:1   143 LAN 12-0 806:1
44 SF 7-2 33:1   94 SF 9-6 187:1   144 SF 14-3 806:1
45 SF 7-3 36:1   95 SF 11-2 190:1   145 SF 12-6 833:1
46 LAN 7-2 38:1   96 LAN 9-7 208:1   146 LAN 13-3 861:1
47 LAN 7-3 40:1   97 LAN 9-6 211:1   147 SF 14-1 892:1
48 SF 7-0 42:1   98 LAN 10-4 213:1   148 SF 14-4 961:1
49 LAN 7-1 43:1   99 SF 11-3 215:1   149 SF 13-5 961:1
50 LAN 7-4 44:1   100 LAN 9-8 222:1   150 LAN 12-6 961:1

 

 

Actual Contest Questions

A. O/U Dee Gordon number of runs scored: 0.5 (1:1)
B. O/U Total Runs Scored: 5.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Clayton Kershaw Strikeouts: 7.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Tim Lincecum Earned Runs: 1.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers runs minus Giants runs: 0.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) Dodgers score more than three runs: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Kershaw SO-BB greater than 7: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) Dee Gordon or Matt Kemp steals more than one base: (5:1)


Sample Bet
#30 LAN 2-0
10AO
5CU
15DU
5H

Note: Prop bets are not over/unders. You either take the bet or you don't. In any question listing a player, that player must start for that question to be valid.  250 units must be risked to be eligible for contest title.  Players in questions A,C,D,G,H must all start for that question to be valid.

 


Note: I will be on vacation during the month of September. There will be no contest between the dates of 9/16 and 9/25.


September Monthly Leaderboard

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