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One Less Tie To The DePodesta Era

After working most of the night on a project, I was exhausted after a day of class. One power nap later, I went off to go get some food. Flipping through the radio, I caught this little conversation from a caller on 570:

"I've always said, the Dodgers can't be successful until they get rid of Jose Cruz Jr, Odalis Perez, who I call "Overdose Perez", and now they got rid of J.D. Drew". After that, the host came back on, and two things went through my mind: "Wait, Joe McDonnell is back on the radio?" follow by "Holy crap, J.D. Drew opted out".

First off, unlike what seemed to be the common line of thought for the Big Nasty and his listeners, this isn't good bye J.D., hello championship. Drew was the Dodgers best hitter by a fairly good margin, and one of the few guys in baseball who you could pencil in for close to a .400 on base percentage. He was also the only outfielder in the Dodger organization that could play strong defense. Replacing Drew on the open market with anyone but himself would be impossible.

I'm still torn about how to feel about this. If Drew is healthy, he's a bargain. A healthy J.D. Drew is one of the best players in baseball. Then again, there's the "if he's healthy" part. At this point I think the Dodgers should just be happy that Drew pretty much lived up to his contract, and they get what will probably be his most productive seasons. If Drew was the only person to worry about here, I'd probably be happy. The problem that arises is that Ned Colletti now has to replace Drew, and the moves he'll make to do that leave me concerned. The scariest scenario is that Alfonso Soriano will wind up as a Dodger, but anyway the Dodgers to replace Drew's production it will certainly cost them more than 33 million dollars over three years.

I can understand why Drew would do this. In a market where the two most valued hitters are Alfonso Soriano and Carlos Lee, and most of the remaining valuable hitters are almost in their forties, it looks like he'll get more than the 33 million dollars that the Dodgers guaranteed to him. I am annoyed that J.D. made all those comments about wanting to stay here to raise his family, and pretty much said he wasn't going to opt out, but ultimately, it's a decision that he was allowed to make, and you can't fault him for making it.

I'm going to miss J.D. Drew. I came to love his plate discipline and his "most boring man in the world" persona, which ironically gave him more of a personality than most of the cliché spewers around the league. With little in house options and a very thin free agent market, the Dodgers future looks worse today than it did yesterday.

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Where will J.D. land?
I will miss Drew, who was probably my favorite Dodger. A lot of the things he did well (plate discipline, avoiding DPs, running bases well, taking good routes in the outfield) are undervalued by the mainstream baseball press, if not mainstream baseball management.

But, that being said, is it clear he is going to get more than $33 million on the open market?

As I noted above, a lot of what makes Drew valuable seems underappreciated. People actually would rather have Alfonso Soriano or Carlos Lee than Drew, most likely.

So maybe Oakland or somebody like that could sign him. But 11 million per year seems about the high end of what he will be worth for his age 31-33 seasons. Is somebody going to give him 4 years? Maybe the Red Sox.

I suppose Scott Boras always finds a sucker somewhere, but I would not be surprised if JD loses some cash over this. It's not like local media will be pressuring teams to sign him, unlike Soriano and co.

by Alfredo Griffin on Nov 10, 2006 7:15 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Forgot one hitter
Aramis, who is probably the best of the bunch given age, production, and position.

by blue22 on Nov 10, 2006 11:07 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

drew
I noticed both Drew and Aramis Ramirez had "opt-out" clauses in their contracts and I couldn't help but think that the "business decision" that Drew cited as his reason for leaving coincided with the collective bargaining agreement passed.  I can only imagine Boras sitting there thinking "We might be able to get even more money, not to mention, Drew probably hated playing in LA where the media hated him for whatever reason.

I was sorry to see him leave and couldn't help but feel disappointed by his decision.  When healthy, he was a bargain and it will be interesting to see how this plays out for him.

by wiffle ball legend on Nov 13, 2006 8:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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