True Blue LA: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: Ole Miss-Alabama: "Let's Go Eat.Wait. What Happened?"

Your 2009 Los Angeles Dodgers

The PECOTA projections of the 2009 Los Angeles Dodgers:

CF Juan Pierre .291/.336/.369
C  Russell Martin .291/.376/.453
RF Matt Kemp .300/.354/.528
3B Andy LaRoche .287/.363/.494
1B James Loney .294/.353/.484
LF Andre Ethier .294/.364/.464
SS Wilson Betemit .259/.329/.440
2B Tony Abreu .278/.323/.417

SP Clayton Kershaw 3.39 ERA
SP Jason Schmidt 4.25 ERA
SP Hong-Chih Kuo 4.28 ERA
SP Scott Elbert 4.41 ERA
SP Chad Billingsley 4.43 ERA

Pretty good for about a 40 million dollar payroll. The Dodgers also have the option to bring back Brad Penny for 9.25 million, which they almost certainly will. This leaves us with about 70 million dollars to replace the players that inevitably won't pan out and get a better shortstop than Betemit (I'm not including shortstop of the future Chin-Lung Hu since I think his inability to hit could cause some problems). Even the weak projection for Tony Abreu is right around a league average second baseman.

Of course, all these projections should be taken with a grain of salt, projection systems get less and less accurate the further into the future you travel, and PECOTA isn't great at projecting players with no major league track record. Not to mention Kershaw's projection is based off 37 innings in rookie ball. Still, this is a very encouraging sign of things to come.

0 recs  |  Comment 4 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

good but . . .
why not put abreu at shortstop and move betemit to 2b?

by kinbote1962 on Feb 6, 2007 11:56 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Colletti
Let's just hope that Colletti sees the 2009 lineup as something like that as well.

by Rich on Feb 6, 2007 5:55 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Ethier?
You don't see Gonzo putting up a 275/355/440 line in '07 (with maybe 80 RBIs!) and getting re-signed to a two year, $13.5 million deal? Don't you know he hit FIFTY TWO freakin' doubles last year? The guy can rake.

by Alfredo Griffin on Feb 6, 2007 8:46 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Re
Just for fun I looked up Luis Gonzalez's PECOTA for 2009: .258/.325/.382. This is with his half way decent projection for 2007.

by Andrew on Feb 6, 2007 9:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

A place for Dodger fans to congregate without spending $15 on parking.
Start posting about the Dodgers »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Ed-ak286_scully_g_20091006143938_small
Kevin Goldstein likes Dee and Chris
Th_punkedoutmercat_small
The Essence of Beard (Where Has it Gone?)
Small
Sandy is the All-Time Dodger Ace
Memoriesofkevinmaloneavatar_small
The 2010 Prospective Prospect Profile List
Small
Dodger Prospect Countdown: 70 - 61

Recent FanPosts

Small
Dodger Decades: Best of the Aughts (to have won a World Series *grumblegumble*)
Small
Dodger Prospect Countdown: 60 - 51
39135485-59af19dbb26654095f910f34176af094_4ae8a81e-scaled_small
Predictions Group
2501_small
Shawn Green Throws his Batting Gloves into the O’Malley Suite
0646a9dfc333ac84_small
Caravan/Steiner/Ethier/Skipper
Small
Dodgers Offically Sign Reed Johnson

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SPONSORS


Managers

100_1427_small Phil Gurnee

Img_0108_small Eric Stephen

Editors

Bison_small David Young

2501_small Michael White