By request, the Dodgers ZIPS projections versus the Diamondbacks ZIPS projections.
|Russell Martin||.279/.359/.432||C||Miguel Montero||.264/.328/.430|
|Nomar Garciaparra||.288/.354/.469||1B||Conor Jackson||.285/.372/.429|
|Jeff Kent||.272/.352/.473||2B||Orlando Hudson||.280/.347/.440|
|Wilson Betemit||.262/.328/.451||3B||Chad Tracy||.286/.349/.465|
|Rafael Furcal||.286/.358/.431||SS||Steven Drew||.278/.335/.467|
|Luis Gonzalez||.248/.342/.412||LF||Eric Byrnes||.265/.323/.462|
|Juan Pierre||.299/.342/.385||CF||Chris Young||.255/.336/.526|
|Andre Ethier||.296/.366/.463||RF||Carlos Quentin||.262/.361/.472|
|Derek Lowe||3.84||SP||Brandon Webb||3.85|
|Jason Schmidt||3.94||SP||Doug Davis||4.54|
|Brad Penny||3.95||SP||Dana Eveland||4.56|
|Chad Billingsley||4.38||SP||Edgar Gonzalez||4.96|
|Randy Wolf||(No Projection)||SP||Livan Hernandez||5.14|
I think the overly pessimistic projection on Webb is balanced out by the breakouts by the pretty extreme bounce back from Doug Davis, and the breakouts Dana Eveland, as well as most of the starting lineup.
The Diamondbacks are scary since they have more upside than any other team in the division, but too much has to go right for them to truly contend.