clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Andre Ethier Community Projections

New, 13 comments

If you haven't posted your thoughts for the following Dodger projections, take a moment to participate by clicking on the True Blue Community Projections and let us know what you think the future holds for 2009.

Andre exploded after July 31st putting up a .991 OPS in the 2nd half. On July 31st Andre had an OPS of .780 and would end the year with an OPS of of .880. At age 27, Andre should be hitting his career peaks as he goes into camp with RF all his own for the first time since showing up on May 2nd, 2006.

Baseball HQ Analysis:

2/24/2009 -

LIMA Plan Targets: In the Baseball Forecaster, Brandon Kruse points out Andre Ethier's (RF/LF, LA) "terrific growth trends in PX [95-106-129], hr/f [8%-10%-14%], and xBA [.267-.275-.311]." Interestingly, Ethier doesn't hit many FB and has even trended down in that metric (37%-36%-32%), although 2008's low level was dragged down by what appears to be a fluky 26% FB% in the second half. However, Ethier does hit a large number of LD, 22%-18%-27% over the past three seasons -- again, the 2008 LD rate was pumped up by a 30% LD% in the second half, which should regress. Still, as pointed out in regards to David Wright, HR can come off LD in addition to FB, so don't discount Ethier just because of his low FB%. He has excellent BPIs and is at the magical age 27; invest.

Andre Ethier Projections

THT BP HQl
Avg
.300 .293 .300
OBP .370 .369 .367
SLug% .482 .465 .525

My projection: .298/.367.493

What yours?