I used my simulator to simulate 100000 baseball games between the Dodgers and the Mets using what to the best of my knowledge will be close to today's starting lineups. The simulator outputs a win probability for each team, along with the average total runs scored, a distribution matrix of all the final scores and how often they occurred, and an averaged box score tally of all games combined. You may find it strange that there are so many one run games listed as the most likely score, and that the home team is always favored to win in the top couple of scores. This is due to basic math and the way that baseball rules play out of having the home team bat last. Here is a great article explaining this phenomenon. Here are the latest Vegas MLB odds.
Today's Results... (Last simulation ran on Tuesday at 2:00 AM)
| Visitors | Home | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob |
| LAN | NYN | C.Haeger vs O.Perez | NYN | 52.15% | 57.84% |
Notes: Get your guesses in on Game #2 of the doubleheader.
Top 150 Most Likely Scores
| 1 NYN 3-2 | 51 LAN 6-1 | 101 NYN 10-0 | ||
| 2 NYN 4-3 | 52 NYN 6-0 | 102 NYN 11-3 | ||
| 3 NYN 5-4 | 53 NYN 8-7 | 103 LAN 10-6 | ||
| 4 NYN 2-1 | 54 NYN 8-1 | 104 NYN 10-6 | ||
| 5 LAN 3-2 | 55 NYN 8-4 | 105 NYN 11-1 | ||
| 6 LAN 4-3 | 56 LAN 4-0 | 106 LAN 11-4 | ||
| 7 NYN 4-2 | 57 NYN 8-5 | 107 LAN 10-7 | ||
| 8 NYN 6-5 | 58 LAN 8-3 | 108 NYN 12-2 | ||
| 9 NYN 3-1 | 59 LAN 8-4 | 109 NYN 11-5 | ||
| 10 NYN 5-3 | 60 LAN 8-5 | 110 NYN 10-9 | ||
| 11 LAN 5-4 | 61 NYN 9-3 | 111 LAN 10-1 | ||
| 12 NYN 5-2 | 62 LAN 8-2 | 112 NYN 10-7 | ||
| 13 LAN 2-1 | 63 LAN 7-1 | 113 LAN 11-3 | ||
| 14 NYN 4-1 | 64 NYN 9-2 | 114 LAN 11-2 | ||
| 15 LAN 4-2 | 65 LAN 5-0 | 115 NYN 10-8 | ||
| 16 LAN 5-3 | 66 NYN 7-0 | 116 NYN 12-3 | ||
| 17 LAN 3-1 | 67 LAN 8-6 | 117 LAN 10-8 | ||
| 18 NYN 6-3 | 68 LAN 8-7 | 118 NYN 11-0 | ||
| 19 NYN 6-4 | 69 NYN 9-4 | 119 LAN 11-5 | ||
| 20 LAN 6-5 | 70 NYN 8-6 | 120 NYN 11-6 | ||
| 21 LAN 5-2 | 71 NYN 9-1 | 121 NYN 12-4 | ||
| 22 NYN 5-1 | 72 NYN 9-5 | 122 LAN 11-6 | ||
| 23 LAN 6-4 | 73 LAN 9-3 | 123 LAN 9-0 | ||
| 24 NYN 6-2 | 74 LAN 9-4 | 124 NYN 12-1 | ||
| 25 NYN 7-6 | 75 NYN 8-0 | 125 NYN 12-5 | ||
| 26 LAN 4-1 | 76 LAN 8-1 | 126 LAN 10-9 | ||
| 27 NYN 1-0 | 77 LAN 6-0 | 127 NYN 13-4 | ||
| 28 NYN 3-0 | 78 LAN 9-2 | 128 LAN 12-4 | ||
| 29 LAN 6-3 | 79 NYN 10-2 | 129 LAN 11-7 | ||
| 30 NYN 6-1 | 80 NYN 10-3 | 130 LAN 12-2 | ||
| 31 NYN 7-3 | 81 NYN 9-6 | 131 LAN 12-5 | ||
| 32 NYN 2-0 | 82 NYN 9-8 | 132 NYN 12-6 | ||
| 33 LAN 6-2 | 83 LAN 9-6 | 133 LAN 11-1 | ||
| 34 NYN 7-4 | 84 LAN 9-5 | 134 LAN 12-3 | ||
| 35 NYN 7-2 | 85 NYN 10-1 | 135 NYN 11-7 | ||
| 36 NYN 4-0 | 86 NYN 10-4 | 136 LAN 10-0 | ||
| 37 LAN 5-1 | 87 LAN 9-7 | 137 NYN 11-8 | ||
| 38 LAN 7-4 | 88 NYN 9-0 | 138 LAN 11-8 | ||
| 39 NYN 7-5 | 89 NYN 9-7 | 139 NYN 13-3 | ||
| 40 LAN 7-3 | 90 NYN 10-5 | 140 NYN 13-2 | ||
| 41 LAN 7-5 | 91 LAN 7-0 | 141 LAN 12-7 | ||
| 42 LAN 1-0 | 92 LAN 9-1 | 142 NYN 11-10 | ||
| 43 LAN 7-6 | 93 NYN 11-2 | 143 LAN 12-6 | ||
| 44 NYN 7-1 | 94 LAN 10-4 | 144 NYN 12-0 | ||
| 45 NYN 5-0 | 95 LAN 10-3 | 145 LAN 11-9 | ||
| 46 LAN 2-0 | 96 NYN 11-4 | 146 NYN 13-5 | ||
| 47 NYN 8-2 | 97 LAN 9-8 | 147 LAN 11-0 | ||
| 48 LAN 3-0 | 98 LAN 10-5 | 148 NYN 14-4 | ||
| 49 NYN 8-3 | 99 LAN 8-0 | 149 NYN 11-9 | ||
| 50 LAN 7-2 | 100 LAN 10-2 | 150 LAN 13-3 |
