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A.J. Ellis: Crushing the projections

A look back at what the experts and members expected of AJ Ellis.

Gary A. Vasquez-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

Eric's preview

What the expert projections and actual look like:

2012 Projections - Age 31 Season




Source
PA HR
Runs RBI BA OBP SLG wOBA OPS+
Pecota
370 1 40 22 .243 .357 .307
Marcel
264 5 23 29 .260 .341 .372 .318
ZiPS
330 2 23 24 .240 .356 .317 .306
Actual
505
13
44
52
.270
.373 .414 .340 118

What Eric projected:

I think Ellis sticks the whole year, makes 104 starts at catcher, and hits .257/.354/.326.

Marcel was quite close but still short of the final numbers. Everyone was expecting some good OB work but the power display shocked everyone.

How did the members do?

Latenight was solid - .265/.370/.360

Michael White was oh so wrong - Hurt in May. 60 day DL, never returns.

Lex might be the winner - 285/402/380

Little Blue Bicycle looking good - 260/.360/.340 in 95 games but short on the games

Xeifrank throws his solid projection into the ring -.250/.371/.370

Nolander expected solid work - .250/.350/.350

Fbihop - 108 starts at catcher, .275/.373/.359.

ElCamino -130 starts 271/376/363

Keith13 -AJ fails .221/.274/.303 Gone in July

So based on these, the tie for worst projection goes to Michael and Keith.

I'm declaring ElCamino the winner because he almost nailed the games 130 to 133, nailed the OBP, and was quite close with the slug. Lex comes in second with his excellent OBP/SLug call, with Xeifrank taking 3rd.

Good work everyone.