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Dodgers, Giants and the race for 5

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The Dodgers are 44-8 (.846) when scoring five or more runs at AT&T Park. They are 23-58 (.284) when they don't.

Thearon W. Henderson

.The Dodgers take another crack at the Giants on Saturday with another similar formula. Los Angeles sends its best two pitchers to the mound in the final two games of the weekend series at AT&T Park in San Francisco, with Zack Greinke getting the call on Saturday, but ultimately the Dodgers offense needs to perform to win.

It is not a surprise that when these two teams meet runs are at a premium, with both teams scoring well under four runs per game in their 2014 encounters. The Giants have the edge, with eight wins in 14 games, outscoring the Dodgers 51 (3.64 per game) to 46 (3.29).

The Dodgers have been held to two or fewer runs against San Francisco seven times in 14 games, and are 1-6 in those games.

The Giants have been held to two or fewer runs against Los Angeles six times in 14 games, and are 1-5 in those games.

If there is a magic number at all this season for both teams (no, not that magic number), it is five runs. When either the Dodgers or Giants has scored five runs this season against one another, that team is 8-0, with four wins for each side.

But that is to be expected. The Dodgers all season are 52-7 (.881) when scoring at least five runs, and the Giants are 56-6 (.903), the second and third-best records in the National League in those situations (the Nationals are 54-5 when scoring five runs). The NL as a whole has an .822 winning percentage when scoring five or more runs.

Since Greinke joined the Dodgers, he has not allowed more than two runs in any of his four starts against the Giants, all Dodgers wins. This season Greinke is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three starts against San Francisco, with 26 strikeouts and four walks in 20 innings.

Greinke pitched seven scoreless innings on July 25 in his only start this season at AT&T Park.

The Dodgers will have to score against Tim Hudson, who has allowed three total runs in 13 innings against them in the last two seasons, one tough-luck seven-inning loss in 2013 with Atlanta, and a six-inning, two-run no-decision on May 11 this year at Dodger Stadium.

Game info

Time: 6:05 p.m. PT

TV: SportsNet LA