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Dodgers 2018 top prospects: No. 6, D.J. Peters

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Minor League Baseball: Arizona Fall League-Peoria Javelinas at Glendale Desert Dogs Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Rancho Cucamonga Quakes are no strangers to having players sit atop the California League leaderboard in home runs, and D.J. Peters made it three years in a row of a top 3 finisher. The two previous sluggers ahead of Peters took divergent paths after their big home run seasons, and Peters will have to work to cut down his swing and miss to follow in Cody Bellinger’s footsteps, or else he might find himself returning to High-A a la Johan Mieses. Like Bellinger, Peters’ profile is much more than just hulking slugger, so optimism abounds for this year’s sixth-ranked prospect. Enough so that his name was mentioned quite frequently during Spring Training with the big league club.

Simply put, D.J. Peters is the most physically impressive prospect in the organization. Listed at 6’6 and 225 lbs., Peters carries his weight extremely well, as he’s capable of playing all three outfield positions. He has more long speed than quickness, which plays out better on defense than it does stealing bases. He won’t need much more physical development before being major league ready, though he might slow down and settle in an outfield corner as he adds his adult weight.

With a mostly upright batting stance, Peters’ height gives him a large strike zone and he will likely face inflated strike out numbers because of that. That said, cutting back a 31% K rate from 2017 against better pitching in Double A should be Peters’ greatest challenge. He’s not an indiscriminate hacker, walking in almost 11% of his plate appearances in the California League, but Peters’ swing mechanics are geared for power and he may require small adjustments to plane to keep his bat in the hitting zone longer in the upper levels.

As mentioned, Peters sells out for power with a steep, uppercut, almost buggy-whip style swing. He has good bat speed and will catch up to plus fastballs. His biggest issue is commanding a large strike zone with a swing that doesn’t stay in the hitting zone as long as it could given his length and extension. He doesn’t quite have the pitch recognition of Bellinger to get away with this as consistently as Cody does, and Peters could be a frustrating hitter for some people as a guy that might hover around a .250 average, but produces plenty of pop.

The power, however, is quite bountiful. Few players hit the ball as hard as Peters, and D.J. should put up impressive exit velocity numbers. Peters’ power can play to all fields, but his swing is geared for pull and he will likely pepper the Tulsa party pavilion seats in left field all season. Peters’ batted ball profile (34% fly ball against 37% ground ball) and exit velocity allow him to make the most of his contact. Six of his eight hits went for extra bases in the Arizona Fall League, so even though he hit .190, he still contributed a .770 OPS in limited time.

Peters’ athleticism and versatility give him a leg up on the traditional hulking slugger profile. Right handed power has been in demand in the major leagues, and Peters could fill any of three outfield positions early in his career, with an arm that profiles in right, but enough range to satisfy in center. Additionally, his understanding of the strike zone, even one as large as his, should prevent him from becoming completely unraveled at the plate like several of the indiscriminate hackers that come out of the California League with big power totals.

Peters was a much tougher punch out in college, and the Dodgers have pushed him aggressively up the ladder, so his pitch recognition might still have more room for growth as he settles into the upper levels, which could make him an elite slugger. It’s more likely a safer bet to peg Peters’ future somewhere lower than that, but righty pop that can handle center and still hit 30 home runs despite a .250 average has multi-win value in the MLB.

“He’s a guy who is very intense, very driven and he does it in all phases of his work. He does it shagging, in the weight room, his work in the cage, and in the game,” manager Dave Roberts said of Peters in spring training. “He’s a young player, but he’s going to will himself to the big leagues and stay for a long time.”

Peters will put his rising prospect star to the test in Double-A in 2018. He could easily climb up national prospect lists with another big home run showing, and the home hitting environment (short distance to straightaway left) should help his cause. The impact he puts on the ball on contact will allow him to live with a high twentieth percentile strikeout rate, but he will need to make improvement on last season’s K numbers to keep the Joc Pederson whispers down.

2018 top Dodgers prospects

RK NAME POS OD AGE LEVEL OVERALL RISK CEILING PROS CONS
RK NAME POS OD AGE LEVEL OVERALL RISK CEILING PROS CONS
6 DJ Peters CF/RF 22.04 HiA 60 45 65 excellent athlete/size, + game power, offensive ceiling swing and miss concerns, might end up in OF corner
7 Yadier Alvarez RHSP/RP 22.01 AA 60 45 65 swing and miss SL, consistently + velo, loose arm poor command, FB doesn't miss bats, relief profile
8 Dustin May RHSP 20.07 HiA 55 45 65 electric arm, high spin rate FB and BB, polished arm slot lower, easier on LHH, needs strength
9 Will Smith C/2B 23.00 AA 55 50 55 + athlete for C, excellent plate discipline, defense offensive production can fluctuate, atypical C build
10 Mitchell White RHSP/RP 23.03 AA 55 45 60 high K potential, chance for + SL and CT, FB Velo injury history, command wavers, poss. reliever
11 Yusniel Diaz CF/RF 21.06 AA 55 50 55 improved swing for pop potential, arm, defensive pot. in game power lagging, tweener profile
12 Cristian Santana 3B 21.01 LoA 55 40 65 excellent build, loose athlete, chance for + power long swing, chance for swing and miss, raw
13 Edwin Rios 3B/1B 23.11 AAA 55 45 60 big raw power, strong, productive hitter, arm strength avg bat speed, fringy at 3rd, mistake hitter
14 Starling Heredia LF/RF 19.02 LoA 55 35 70 man-child physique, huge raw power, upside still raw at the plate, serious swing and miss
15 Morgan Cooper RHSP 23.06 NA 55 50 55 good frame, + BB with BB manipulation, production injury history, longer arm action, ceiling more #3
16 Gavin Lux SS 20.04 LoA 55 50 55 should stick at SS, athletic, plate discipline at age overall offensive ceiling, some hit struggles early
17 Jordan Sheffield RHSP/RP 22.10 HiA 55 45 60 electric arm, + present fastball and CV, athletic production doesn't match stuff, likely reliever
18 Imani Abdullah RHSP 20.11 LoA 55 45 60 excellent frame, upside, feel for spin on CB 17 a redshirt year, limited exposure, little stiff
19 Kyle Farmer C/3B 27.07 MLB 50 50 45 good feel for hit, offensive profile at C, utility more productive bench bat then starter, age
20 Caleb Ferguson LHSP 21.09 HiA 50 45 50 K production, 3 pitch mix, command, feel for spin upside more mid rotation, maxed out frame
21 Connor Wong C/2B 21.10 LoA 50 45 50 versatile talent, good athlete for a C, solid power prod some swing and miss, build not projectable
22 Josh Sborz RHSP/RP 24.03 AA 50 45 50 high floor, command of three pitches, competitive stuff has backed up this season, likely reliever
23 James Marinan RHSP 19.06 ROK 50 40 55 projectable frame, flashes + SNK, chance for +CH slurvy BB, more middle than upper rotation upside
24 Devin Smeltzer LHSP 22.08 HiA 50 45 50 high pitchability, 3 pitch mix, throws nothing straight fringe avg velo, 4th or 5th starter ceiling
25 Matt Beaty 1B/LF 24.11 AA 50 45 50 excellent feel for hit, career production, game pop limited ceiling, future defensive home
26 Andrew Sopko RHSP 23.08 AA 50 50 45 3 pitch mix, pitchability, command, deceptive velo can be fringy, bottom rotation upside
27 Ariel Sandoval CF/RF 22.05 HiA 50 35 60 livey athlete, raw power, arm, 2nd half production too raw at plate, noisey set-up, high swing and miss
28 Tim Locastro SS/2B/CF 25.09 AAA 50 45 45 good bat to ball skills, high steal rate, versatile fringe pop, stretched at SS and CF, upside
29 JT Chargois RHRP 27.04 AAA 50 40 55 heavy life on SNK, GB ability, arm strength limited track record, long injury history, age
30 Jake Peter 2B/SS 24.11 AAA 50 45 45 fluid LH swing, arm strength, versatile utility/bench upside, ? on overall pop
31 Yaisel Sierra RHRP 27.01 AAA 50 40 50 good velo, SL will flash +, quick arm command, incon. release, FB can be straight
32 Wilmer Font RHSP/RP 27.10 MLB 50 40 50 excellent K production, rise on FB, + SL age, previous command issues, upside
33 Ibandel Isabel 1B 22.09 HiA 50 30 60 ++ raw power, physical build, strength huge swing and miss, poor defender, raw
34 Mitchell Hansen CF/RF 21.11 SS 45 40 55 chance for 5 tools, upside, projectable frame struggling to break full season, swing and miss
35 Errol Robinson SS 23.06 AA 45 45 50 smooth infield actions, throwing arm, solid athlete better long speed than SB threat, off. ceiling
36 Johan Mieses RF/CF 22.09 AA 45 40 55 impressive arm, defensive ceiling, raw power serious swing and miss concerns
37 Omar Estevez 2B/SS 20.01 HiA 45 40 55 added defensive versatility, some feel for hit production stagnated at Hi A, power potential
38 Donovan Casey CF/RF 22.01 SS 45 45 50 twitchy athlete, production, solid bat to ball skills ceiling more 4th OF than starter, power ceiling
39 Edward Paredes LHRP 31.06 MLB 45 45 45 K production, tough on LHH, + SL age, one pitch reliever, LOOGY upside
40 Rob Segedin 3B/LF 29.05 MLB 45 45 45 hit vs lefties, gets most of tools, avg pop bench bat upside, limited defender, upside
41 Drew Jackson SS/2B 24.09 AA 45 40 50 elite athlete, + to ++ speed and arm strength offense improving but limited ceiling, utility upside
42 Wills Montgomerie RHSP/RP 22.10 LoA 45 40 50 spin rate, durable build, flashes + velo and CV uneven production, command wavers
43 Cody Thomas RF 23.06 LoA 45 35 55 great build, good athlete, chance for above avg pop still raw, swing and miss concerns
44 Jesen Therrien RHRP 25.00 AAA 45 45 45 SL flashes +, good command and K production TJ wipes out '18. middle relief/ROOGY upside
45 Carlos Rincon RF 20.06 SS 45 35 55 big raw power, physical upside, bat speed pretty raw offensively, serious swing and miss
46 Kyle Garlick CF/RF/LF 26.02 AA 45 45 45 productive, feel for hitting, avg pop 4th outfielder profile, age, fringe speed
47 Luke Raley LF/RF 23.06 HiA 45 40 50 muscular build, chance for above avg pop just avg bat speed, possible swing and miss
48 Luis Paz 1B/C 21.09 SS 45 40 50 power production, bat speed, strong build ? on ultimate defensive home, avg athlete
49 Riley Ottesen RHRP 23.05 LoA 45 40 50 good velo, will flash + SL, arm speed poor college production, likely reliever only
50 Rylan Bannon 3B 21.11 SS 45 45 45 college/pro production, good feel for hit, game pop skills over tools, ceiling, possible utility upside
51 Leo Crawford LHSP 21.01 LoA 45 40 50 solid production, command of 3 pitch mix fringe velo, not as projectable, likely back end
52 Zach Reks LF/RF 24.05 HiA 45 45 45 feel for hit, on base skills, productive - power, age, 4th OF profile
53 Romer Cuadrado LF/RF 20.08 SS 45 35 55 excellent frame, chance for + raw power development lagging behind age, swing and miss
54 Ryan Moseley RHRP 23.06 LoA 45 40 50 chance for ++ snk, big groundball potential struggles with command, results don't match stuff
55 Jared Walker 3B/RF 22.02 LoA 45 40 50 + size/athleticism combo, chance for hit/power, + arm raw, buggy whip swing, error prone in IF
56 Zach Pop RHRP 21.06 NA 45 40 50 good life/velo combo on FB, solid build, poss. CH mid relief profile, SL loses shape in low slot
57 Corey Copping RHRP 24.03 AA 45 45 45 good SL, bulldog mentality, decent production FB velo avg to fringe, middle relief ceiling
58 Shea Spitzbarth RHRP 23.06 AA 45 45 45 agressive mound demeanor, arm strength, CV middle relief upside, maxed out frame, size
59 Layne Somsen RHRP 28.10 AA 45 45 45 tough overhead BB, production, athletic limited mid relief ceiling, age, avg FB velo
60 Tony Gonsolin RHRP 23.11 HiA 45 40 50 arm speed, flashes + SL, solid K production lithe build, not quite late relief upside
61 Alfredo Tavarez RHSP/RP 20.04 LoA 45 35 50 king sized frame, arm strength, K production still raw mechanically, repeating arm slot, command
62 Aneurys Zabala RHRP 21.03 LoA 45 40 50 will flash ++ arm strength, some feel for spin relief profile, command, limited physical upside
63 Michael Boyle LHSP 23.11 HiA 45 40 45 pitch movement, pitchability, 3 pitches no plus pitch, fringy velo, #5 starter/swingman
64 Jefrey Souffront 2B/3B 20.11 ROK 45 35 50 some feel for hit, quick bat, mature plate approach distance from the majors, build not projectable
65 Jacob Amaya SS/2B 19.02 ROK 45 35 50 chance to stick at SS, good athlete, some feel for hit distance from majors, offensive ceiling
66 Ronny Brito SS 19.00 SS 45 35 50 infield actions, long athlete, chance to hit ? on overall offensive potential, far from majors
67 Logan Crouse RHRP 21.04 LoA 45 35 50 size, projectability, athleticism in delivery, arm action Fringy present velo, lots of projection left
68 Chris Mathewson RHSP/RP 21.10 HiA 45 40 45 SNK/SL mix, solid production, command back of rotation, middle relief upside, fringe velo
69 Adam Bray RHSP 24.11 HiA 45 40 45 durability, feel for spin, good command fringe starter upside, upside, avg K potential
70 Brian Moran LHRP 29.06 AA 40 40 45 funk in delivery, tough in LHH, K potential limited ceiling, fringe velo, age
71 Nolan Long RHRP 24.02 HiA 40 40 45 long frame, athletic for size, FB flashes + long levers to control, command, likely reliever
72 Mike Ahmed 1B/3B 26.02 AA 40 40 45 productive in '16, swing plane, avg pop bat speed, age, limited upside
73 Nathan Witt RHRP 21.11 ROK 40 35 50 good build, projectable, arm strength project arm, distance from majors, relief upside
74 Travis Taijeron LF/RF 29.02 AAA 40 40 45 good career power production, physical build age, defensive upside, swing and miss concern
75 Jacob Scavuzzo LF 24.02 AAA 40 40 45 solid tool profile, still a chance for upside game going backward, struggling hit tool
76 Max Gamboa RHRP 22.04 ROK 40 35 50 excellent arm strength, + to ++ velo, good frame production does not match stuff, incon. SL
77 Dean Kremer RHRP 22.03 HiA 40 40 45 decent athleticism and frame, K production, sink on FB was hit hard in HiA. Homer prone, no + pitch
78 Moises Perez 2B 20.08 LoA 40 40 45 loose athlete, some feel for hit offensive ceiling, lower on defensive spectrum
79 Isaac Anderson RHSP/RP 24.07 HiA 40 40 45 versatile arm, some SNK on FB, avg SL no plus or above avg tool, low ceiling, taxi arm